Prediction: Kamuzu Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist FC
Team pages: Kamuzu Barracks · Mitundu Baptist FC
- Mitundu Baptist FC1-0Kamuzu Barracks
| Kamuzu Barracks | Draw | Mitundu Baptist FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 34% | 27% |
| Market | 40% | 32% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitundu Baptist FC (rating 1446 vs 1515).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kamuzu Barracks | Mitundu Baptist FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.6 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.2 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamuzu Barracks 0–0–1 Mitundu Baptist FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Malawi Super League | Mitundu Baptist FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kamuzu Barracks |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Bullets | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 33 |
| 2 | Mighty Wanderers | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 12 | 33 |
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 29 |
| 5 | Chitipa United | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 24 |
| 6 | Masters FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 22 |
| 7 | Moyale Barracks | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 22 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
| 9 | Ekhaya FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Red Lions | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Civil Service Utd | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 20 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 18 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 17 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 13 |
| 15 | Creck SC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 13 |
| 16 | MAFCO | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kamuzu Barracks | Mitundu Baptist FC |
|---|---|---|
| Ekhaya FC | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Moyale Barracks | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Red Lions | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Blue Eagles | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Chitipa United | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Big Bullets | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Mitundu Baptist FC (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kamuzu Barracks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
Mitundu Baptist FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 09/09 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kamuzu Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kamuzu Barracks win (40%). Probabilities: Kamuzu Barracks 40%, draw 33%, Mitundu Baptist FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Kamuzu Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist FC?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Kamuzu Barracks 1.07 · Mitundu Baptist FC 0.83), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kamuzu Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.