Prediction: Mitundu Baptist FC vs MAFCO
Team pages: Mitundu Baptist FC · MAFCO
- MAFCO1-1Mitundu Baptist FC
| Mitundu Baptist FC | Draw | MAFCO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Market | 52% | 29% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitundu Baptist FC (rating 1520 vs 1408).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mitundu Baptist FC | MAFCO | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 1.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mitundu Baptist FC 0–1–0 MAFCO
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Malawi Super League | MAFCO | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Mitundu Baptist FC |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Bullets | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 36 |
| 2 | Mighty Wanderers | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 34 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 32 |
| 5 | Chitipa United | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 24 |
| 6 | Red Lions | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 22 |
| 7 | Ekhaya FC | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 22 |
| 8 | Masters FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 22 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 22 |
| 10 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Civil Service Utd | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 21 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 19 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 17 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 13 |
| 15 | Creck SC | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 13 |
| 16 | MAFCO | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 13 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mitundu Baptist FC | MAFCO |
|---|---|---|
| Kamuzu Barracks | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Red Lions | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Big Bullets | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Chitipa United | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Blue Eagles | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Mitundu Baptist FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitundu Baptist FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 10/10 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 09/09 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
MAFCO
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitundu Baptist FC vs MAFCO?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mitundu Baptist FC win (52%). Probabilities: Mitundu Baptist FC 52%, draw 29%, MAFCO 19%.
How many goals are expected in Mitundu Baptist FC vs MAFCO?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Mitundu Baptist FC 1.41 · MAFCO 0.73), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Mitundu Baptist FC vs MAFCO?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.