Football · Malawi Super League · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: Silver Strikers vs Kamuzu Barracks

Team pages: Silver Strikers · Kamuzu Barracks

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Silver Strikers1.73

Kamuzu Barracks0.63

1X2

63% 24% 12%

Silver Strikers Draw Kamuzu Barracks

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Silver Strikers 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWDLLW

Kamuzu Barracks 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWDLDLLD

Head-to-head

Silver Strikers 5–1–0 Kamuzu Barracks (6 last)

Kamuzu Barracks0-2Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers1-0Kamuzu Barracks
Kamuzu Barracks0-2Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers1-0Kamuzu Barracks
Kamuzu Barracks2-2Silver Strikers
Kamuzu Barracks0-1Silver Strikers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Silver Strikers 1544 · Kamuzu Barracks 1442

	Silver Strikers	Draw	Kamuzu Barracks
Our model	63%	25%	12%
Market	64%	23%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Silver Strikers (rating 1544 vs 1442).
H2H favours Silver Strikers: 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Silver Strikers	Kamuzu Barracks
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.8	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	1.6 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	1.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.40

X3.80

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +22’	1.40	3.80	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Silver Strikers 5–1–0 Kamuzu Barracks

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Malawi Super League	Kamuzu Barracks	0-2 HT 0-2	Silver Strikers
04/12/25 Malawi Super League	Silver Strikers	1-0 HT 0-0	Kamuzu Barracks
27/04/25 Malawi Super League	Kamuzu Barracks	0-2 HT 0-1	Silver Strikers
22/09/24 Malawi Super League	Silver Strikers	1-0 HT 1-0	Kamuzu Barracks
14/07/24 Malawi Super League	Kamuzu Barracks	2-2 HT 2-0	Silver Strikers
04/06/23 Malawi Super League	Kamuzu Barracks	0-1 HT 0-1	Silver Strikers

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Big Bullets	17	10	6	1	25	7	36
2	Mighty Wanderers	18	10	6	2	30	12	36
3	Blue Eagles	17	11	1	5	27	18	34
4	Silver Strikers	17	9	5	3	24	11	32
5	Chitipa United	17	7	3	7	13	19	24
6	Red Lions	17	5	7	5	13	14	22
7	Ekhaya FC	17	5	7	5	17	14	22
8	Masters FC	16	6	4	6	17	17	22
9	Moyale Barracks	18	5	7	6	18	21	22
10	Mitundu Baptist FC	17	5	7	5	14	15	22
11	Civil Service Utd	17	6	3	8	11	16	21
12	Dedza Dynamos	17	4	7	6	11	20	19
13	Karonga United	16	4	5	7	15	23	17
14	Kamuzu Barracks	17	3	4	10	16	25	13
15	Creck SC	17	3	4	10	13	22	13
16	MAFCO	17	3	4	10	12	22	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Silver Strikers	Kamuzu Barracks
Moyale Barracks	1-0 W	2-2 D
Mighty Wanderers	0-1 L	0-2 L
Ekhaya FC	3-0 W	0-2 L
Mitundu Baptist FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Chitipa United	0-0 D	1-2 L
Red Lions	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Silver Strikers (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Silver Strikers

WDWDWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
10/10	Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
05/09	Big Bullets Malawi Super League	0-3	0-5	4	4	L
23/08	Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
15/08	Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
08/08	Creck SC Malawi Super League	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
26/07	Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
19/07	Karonga United Malawi Super League	0-0	4-1	4	1	W
05/07	Chitipa United Malawi Super League	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
28/06	Red Lions Malawi Super League	2-0	3-0	9	1	W

Kamuzu Barracks

LLWWDLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League	1-0	1-1	2	0	D
10/10	Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
05/09	Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
22/08	Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League	0-1	2-2	3	2	D
16/08	Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League	0-2	0-2	5	1	L
09/08	Red Lions Malawi Super League	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
26/07	MAFCO Malawi Super League	2-0	4-1	3	4	W
19/07	Blue Eagles Malawi Super League	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
05/07	Masters FC Malawi Super League	0-1	0-1	4	0	L
27/06	Chitipa United Malawi Super League	0-0	1-2	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Silver Strikers vs Kamuzu Barracks?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Silver Strikers win (63%). Probabilities: Silver Strikers 63%, draw 24%, Kamuzu Barracks 12%.

How many goals are expected in Silver Strikers vs Kamuzu Barracks?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Silver Strikers 1.73 · Kamuzu Barracks 0.63), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Silver Strikers vs Kamuzu Barracks?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.