Football · Malawi Super League · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: Creck SC vs Red Lions

Team pages: Creck SC · Red Lions

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Creck SC0.87
Red Lions1.02
1X2
29% 33% 38%
Creck SC Draw Red Lions
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Creck SC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLLDWDWL
Red Lions 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LWLLDWLDDD
Head-to-head
Creck SC 0–1–0 Red Lions (1 last)
  • Red Lions1-1Creck SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Creck SC 1460 · Red Lions 1479
Creck SCDrawRed Lions
Our model29%34%37%
Market30%32%38%
Estimated total (ours) 1.89 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Creck SCRed Lions
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.20.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.90.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/20/70%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.62.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.32.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Creck SC 0–1–0 Red Lions

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Malawi Super League
Red Lions1-1
HT 0-0
Creck SC

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Big Bullets 181161 26739
2 Mighty Wanderers 181062 301236
3 Blue Eagles 181116 282034
4 Silver Strikers 18963 241133
5 Chitipa United 18747 131925
6 Ekhaya FC 18675 191525
7 Mitundu Baptist FC 18675 161525
8 Masters FC 17656 171723
9 Red Lions 17575 131422
10 Moyale Barracks 18576 182122
11 Civil Service Utd 18639 111721
12 Dedza Dynamos 17476 112019
13 Karonga United 16457 152317
14 Kamuzu Barracks 183510 162514
15 Creck SC 173410 132213
16 MAFCO 183411 122413

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCreck SCRed Lions
Mighty Wanderers 0-1 L 1-2 L
Moyale Barracks 2-1 W 1-0 W
Ekhaya FC 3-2 W 0-0 D
Silver Strikers 0-1 L 0-3 L
Mitundu Baptist FC 0-1 L 1-1 D
Civil Service Utd 0-1 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Creck SC

LLLLLDWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 15 L
11/10 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-1 63 W
06/09 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 13 D
22/08 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
0-2 3-2 31 W
16/08 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
0-1 1-1 71 D
08/08 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 42 L
26/07 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
1-2 1-2 31 L
18/07 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 –– L
04/07 Big Bullets
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-2 47 L
28/06 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 –– L

Red Lions

LWLLDWLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 33 D
10/10 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 32 D
05/09 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 44 D
22/08 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-1 1-2 35 L
15/08 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 72 W
09/08 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 43 D
25/07 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-3 –– L
18/07 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-2 –– L
05/07 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 42 W
28/06 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-3 41 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Creck SC vs Red Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Red Lions win (38%). Probabilities: Creck SC 29%, draw 33%, Red Lions 38%.

How many goals are expected in Creck SC vs Red Lions?

The model expects 1.89 goals (Creck SC 0.87 · Red Lions 1.02), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Creck SC vs Red Lions?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.