Football · Malawi Super League · 25/10, 14:00
Prediction: Dedza Dynamos vs Moyale Barracks
Team pages: Dedza Dynamos · Moyale Barracks
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.73Total
Dedza Dynamos0.98
Moyale Barracks0.75
1X2
Dedza Dynamos
Draw
Moyale Barracks
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Dedza Dynamos
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Moyale Barracks
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dedza Dynamos
2–2–2
Moyale Barracks
(6 last)
- Moyale Barracks0-0Dedza Dynamos
- Dedza Dynamos0-0Moyale Barracks
- Moyale Barracks3-1Dedza Dynamos
- Dedza Dynamos1-0Moyale Barracks
- Moyale Barracks2-0Dedza Dynamos
- Moyale Barracks1-2Dedza Dynamos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dedza Dynamos 1520 · Moyale Barracks 1478
| Dedza Dynamos | Draw | Moyale Barracks | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 36% | 26% |
| Market | 40% | 32% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.73 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dedza Dynamos (rating 1520 vs 1478).
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dedza Dynamos | Moyale Barracks | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.6 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dedza Dynamos 2–2–2 Moyale Barracks
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dedza Dynamos |
| 27/12/25 Malawi Super League | Dedza Dynamos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Moyale Barracks |
| 09/08/25 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Dedza Dynamos |
| 10/11/24 Malawi Super League | Dedza Dynamos | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Moyale Barracks |
| 11/06/23 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Dedza Dynamos |
| 22/05/22 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Dedza Dynamos |
Standings · Malawi Super League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Bullets | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 39 |
| 2 | Mighty Wanderers | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 34 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 33 |
| 5 | Chitipa United | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Ekhaya FC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 25 |
| 8 | Masters FC | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 23 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 22 |
| 10 | Moyale Barracks | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 22 |
| 11 | Civil Service Utd | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 21 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 19 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 17 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 14 |
| 15 | Creck SC | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 13 |
| 16 | MAFCO | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 24 | 13 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dedza Dynamos | Moyale Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Civil Service Utd | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Masters FC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Silver Strikers | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Creck SC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Mighty Wanderers | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Dedza Dynamos (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dedza Dynamos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/09 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
Moyale Barracks
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dedza Dynamos vs Moyale Barracks?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dedza Dynamos win (39%). Probabilities: Dedza Dynamos 39%, draw 34%, Moyale Barracks 27%.
How many goals are expected in Dedza Dynamos vs Moyale Barracks?
The model expects 1.73 goals (Dedza Dynamos 0.98 · Moyale Barracks 0.75), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Dedza Dynamos vs Moyale Barracks?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.