Football · Malawi Super League · 17/10, 15:00
Prediction: Mighty Wanderers vs Creck SC
Team pages: Mighty Wanderers · Creck SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Mighty Wanderers1.95
Creck SC0.53
1X2
Mighty Wanderers
Draw
Creck SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Mighty Wanderers
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Creck SC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mighty Wanderers
4–1–0
Creck SC
(5 last)
- Mighty Wanderers2-0Creck SC
- Creck SC1-2Mighty Wanderers
- Mighty Wanderers0-0Creck SC
- Creck SC0-1Mighty Wanderers
- Mighty Wanderers3-0Creck SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mighty Wanderers 1526 · Creck SC 1463
| Mighty Wanderers | Draw | Creck SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 21% | 8% |
| Market | 72% | 19% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mighty Wanderers (rating 1526 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Mighty Wanderers: 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mighty Wanderers | Creck SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.3 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mighty Wanderers 4–1–0 Creck SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Malawi Top 8 Cup | Mighty Wanderers | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Creck SC |
| 03/05/26 Malawi Super League | Creck SC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Mighty Wanderers |
| 27/08/25 Malawi Super League | Mighty Wanderers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Creck SC |
| 18/05/25 Malawi Super League | Creck SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Mighty Wanderers |
| 20/04/24 Malawi Super League | Mighty Wanderers | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Creck SC |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mighty Wanderers | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Big Bullets | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 29 |
| 5 | Chitipa United | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 24 |
| 6 | Masters FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 22 |
| 7 | Moyale Barracks | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 22 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Civil Service Utd | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 21 |
| 11 | Ekhaya FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 21 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 19 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 17 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 13 |
| 15 | Creck SC | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 13 |
| 16 | MAFCO | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 13 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mighty Wanderers | Creck SC |
|---|---|---|
| Silver Strikers | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Moyale Barracks | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Masters FC | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Civil Service Utd | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Dedza Dynamos | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mighty Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/07 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Creck SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mighty Wanderers vs Creck SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mighty Wanderers win (71%). Probabilities: Mighty Wanderers 71%, draw 20%, Creck SC 9%.
How many goals are expected in Mighty Wanderers vs Creck SC?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Mighty Wanderers 1.95 · Creck SC 0.53), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mighty Wanderers vs Creck SC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.