Prediction: MAFCO vs Big Bullets
Team pages: MAFCO · Big Bullets
- Big Bullets1-0MAFCO
- Big Bullets3-0MAFCO
- MAFCO0-1Big Bullets
- Big Bullets1-0MAFCO
- MAFCO1-2Big Bullets
- Big Bullets4-0MAFCO
| MAFCO | Draw | Big Bullets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 33% | 51% |
| Market | 19% | 27% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Big Bullets (rating 1400 vs 1593).
- H2H favours Big Bullets: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MAFCO | Big Bullets | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/44/56% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 2.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MAFCO 0–0–6 Big Bullets
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Malawi Super League | Big Bullets | 1-0 HT 0-0 | MAFCO |
| 21/10/25 Malawi Super League | Big Bullets | 3-0 HT 2-0 | MAFCO |
| 03/08/25 Malawi Super League | MAFCO | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Big Bullets |
| 06/10/24 Malawi Super League | Big Bullets | 1-0 HT 1-0 | MAFCO |
| 06/01/24 Malawi Top 8 Cup | MAFCO | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Big Bullets |
| 23/04/23 Malawi Super League | Big Bullets | 4-0 HT 1-0 | MAFCO |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mighty Wanderers | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Big Bullets | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 29 |
| 5 | Chitipa United | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 24 |
| 6 | Masters FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 22 |
| 7 | Moyale Barracks | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 22 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Civil Service Utd | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 21 |
| 11 | Ekhaya FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 21 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 19 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 17 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 13 |
| 15 | Creck SC | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 13 |
| 16 | MAFCO | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 13 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MAFCO | Big Bullets |
|---|---|---|
| Chitipa United | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Masters FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Blue Eagles | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Kamuzu Barracks | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Ekhaya FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Big Bullets (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MAFCO
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
Big Bullets
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/07 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 29/06 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MAFCO vs Big Bullets?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Big Bullets win (53%). Probabilities: MAFCO 18%, draw 30%, Big Bullets 53%.
How many goals are expected in MAFCO vs Big Bullets?
The model expects 1.75 goals (MAFCO 0.55 · Big Bullets 1.2), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in MAFCO vs Big Bullets?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.