Football · Malawi Super League · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: Red Lions vs Ekhaya FC

Team pages: Red Lions · Ekhaya FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.78Total
Red Lions0.99
Ekhaya FC0.79
1X2
39% 33% 28%
Red Lions Draw Ekhaya FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Red Lions 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLLDWLDD
Ekhaya FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DWDDLDLLDW
Head-to-head
Red Lions 0–1–0 Ekhaya FC (1 last)
  • Ekhaya FC1-1Red Lions
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Red Lions 1483 · Ekhaya FC 1512
Red LionsDrawEkhaya FC
Our model38%36%27%
Market40%31%29%
Estimated total (ours) 1.78 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Red LionsEkhaya FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.10.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.92.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 03.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Red Lions 0–1–0 Ekhaya FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Malawi Super League
Ekhaya FC1-1
HT 1-0
Red Lions

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Mighty Wanderers 181062 301236
2 Big Bullets 16961 22733
3 Blue Eagles 161015 241831
4 Silver Strikers 16853 231129
5 Chitipa United 16736 131624
6 Masters FC 16646 171722
7 Moyale Barracks 17575 182022
8 Mitundu Baptist FC 17575 141522
9 Red Lions 16565 131421
10 Civil Service Utd 17638 111621
11 Ekhaya FC 16565 171421
12 Dedza Dynamos 17476 112019
13 Karonga United 16457 152317
14 Kamuzu Barracks 173410 162513
15 Creck SC 173410 132213
16 MAFCO 16349 121913

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRed LionsEkhaya FC
Mitundu Baptist FC 1-1 D 0-0 D
Mighty Wanderers 1-2 L 1-1 D
Kamuzu Barracks 0-0 D 2-0 W
MAFCO 0-2 L 1-0 W
Silver Strikers 0-3 L 0-3 L
Chitipa United 1-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ekhaya FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Red Lions

WLWLLDWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 32 D
05/09 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 44 D
22/08 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-1 1-2 35 L
15/08 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 72 W
09/08 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 43 D
25/07 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-3 –– L
18/07 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-2 –– L
05/07 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 42 W
28/06 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-3 41 L
21/06 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 25 W

Ekhaya FC

DWDDLDLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-0 72 W
06/09 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 95 D
22/08 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
2-0 2-3 51 L
15/08 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-3 42 L
08/08 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 77 D
25/07 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 –– L
19/07 Big Bullets
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 34 D
05/07 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 72 D
28/06 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 75 W
20/06 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 35 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Red Lions vs Ekhaya FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Red Lions win (39%). Probabilities: Red Lions 39%, draw 33%, Ekhaya FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Red Lions vs Ekhaya FC?

The model expects 1.78 goals (Red Lions 0.99 · Ekhaya FC 0.79), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Red Lions vs Ekhaya FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.