Football · Malawi Super League · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: Blue Eagles vs Chitipa United

Team pages: Blue Eagles · Chitipa United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Blue Eagles1.52
Chitipa United0.66
1X2
57% 27% 16%
Blue Eagles Draw Chitipa United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Blue Eagles 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWLWWL
Chitipa United 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWWLWDDW
Head-to-head
Blue Eagles 3–3 Chitipa United (6 last)
  • Chitipa United1-0Blue Eagles
  • Blue Eagles3-1Chitipa United
  • Chitipa United1-0Blue Eagles
  • Chitipa United1-0Blue Eagles
  • Blue Eagles4-0Chitipa United
  • Chitipa United3-5Blue Eagles
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blue Eagles 1526 · Chitipa United 1530
Blue EaglesDrawChitipa United
Our model57%28%15%
Market58%26%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Blue EaglesChitipa United
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.30.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.2 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/44/22%20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.92 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 03 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Blue Eagles 3–0–3 Chitipa United

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Malawi Super League
Chitipa United1-0
HT 0-0
Blue Eagles
07/12/25
Malawi Super League
Blue Eagles3-1
HT 1-0
Chitipa United
10/08/25
Malawi Super League
Chitipa United1-0
HT 1-0
Blue Eagles
17/07/21
Malawi Super League
Chitipa United1-0
HT 1-0
Blue Eagles
08/12/19
Malawi Super League
Blue Eagles4-0
HT 2-0
Chitipa United
23/06/19
Malawi Super League
Chitipa United3-5
HT 1-2
Blue Eagles

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Mighty Wanderers 181062 301236
2 Big Bullets 16961 22733
3 Blue Eagles 161015 241831
4 Silver Strikers 16853 231129
5 Chitipa United 16736 131624
6 Masters FC 16646 171722
7 Moyale Barracks 17575 182022
8 Mitundu Baptist FC 17575 141522
9 Red Lions 16565 131421
10 Civil Service Utd 17638 111621
11 Ekhaya FC 16565 171421
12 Dedza Dynamos 17476 112019
13 Karonga United 16457 152317
14 Kamuzu Barracks 173410 162513
15 Creck SC 173410 132213
16 MAFCO 16349 121913

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBlue EaglesChitipa United
Big Bullets 0-2 L 0-2 L
MAFCO 1-0 W 2-0 W
Red Lions 3-2 W 0-1 L
Kamuzu Barracks 1-2 L 2-1 W
Mitundu Baptist FC 2-3 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chitipa United (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Blue Eagles

LWLWWWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Big Bullets
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-2 51 L
19/09 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
2-0 2-1 46 W
22/08 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-1 42 W
16/08 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
1-1 1-2 51 L
08/08 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 50 W
08/08 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
– 1-0 –– W
25/07 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-1 3-2 –– W
19/07 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
1-1 1-2 73 L
04/07 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 –– W
27/06 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 2-3 41 L

Chitipa United

LWDWWLWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-0 12 W
06/09 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 53 D
23/08 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-1 34 D
15/08 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 31 W
09/08 Big Bullets
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-2 03 L
25/07 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 –– W
19/07 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-1 53 W
05/07 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 56 D
27/06 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 2-1 34 W
21/06 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 75 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blue Eagles vs Chitipa United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Blue Eagles win (57%). Probabilities: Blue Eagles 57%, draw 27%, Chitipa United 16%.

How many goals are expected in Blue Eagles vs Chitipa United?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Blue Eagles 1.52 · Chitipa United 0.66), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Blue Eagles vs Chitipa United?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.