Football · Malawi Super League · 18/10, 14:30

Prediction: Moyale Barracks vs Silver Strikers

Team pages: Moyale Barracks · Silver Strikers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

Moyale Barracks0.99

Silver Strikers1.34

1X2

26% 30% 44%

Moyale Barracks Draw Silver Strikers

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Moyale Barracks 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWDDLDWL

Silver Strikers 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWDWWDLL

Head-to-head

Moyale Barracks 0–2–4 Silver Strikers (6 last)

Silver Strikers4-1Moyale Barracks
Silver Strikers3-0Moyale Barracks
Moyale Barracks1-1Silver Strikers
Moyale Barracks1-3Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers1-0Moyale Barracks
Silver Strikers1-1Moyale Barracks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moyale Barracks 1471 · Silver Strikers 1527

	Moyale Barracks	Draw	Silver Strikers
Our model	26%	30%	44%
Market	26%	30%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Silver Strikers (rating 1471 vs 1527).
H2H favours Silver Strikers: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Moyale Barracks	Silver Strikers
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.2	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.00

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:51 +7’	3.40	3.00	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Moyale Barracks 0–2–4 Silver Strikers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Malawi Super League	Silver Strikers	4-1 HT 1-0	Moyale Barracks
26/11/25 Malawi Super League	Silver Strikers	3-0 HT 0-0	Moyale Barracks
13/07/25 Malawi Super League	Moyale Barracks	1-1 HT 1-0	Silver Strikers
18/05/25 Malawi Top 8 Cup	Moyale Barracks	1-3 HT 0-1	Silver Strikers
21/04/25 Malawi Top 8 Cup	Silver Strikers	1-0 HT 1-0	Moyale Barracks
14/09/24 Malawi Super League	Silver Strikers	1-1 HT 1-1	Moyale Barracks

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mighty Wanderers	18	10	6	2	30	12	36
2	Big Bullets	16	9	6	1	22	7	33
3	Blue Eagles	16	10	1	5	24	18	31
4	Silver Strikers	16	8	5	3	23	11	29
5	Chitipa United	16	7	3	6	13	16	24
6	Masters FC	16	6	4	6	17	17	22
7	Moyale Barracks	17	5	7	5	18	20	22
8	Mitundu Baptist FC	17	5	7	5	14	15	22
9	Red Lions	16	5	6	5	13	14	21
10	Civil Service Utd	17	6	3	8	11	16	21
11	Ekhaya FC	16	5	6	5	17	14	21
12	Dedza Dynamos	17	4	7	6	11	20	19
13	Karonga United	16	4	5	7	15	23	17
14	Kamuzu Barracks	17	3	4	10	16	25	13
15	Creck SC	17	3	4	10	13	22	13
16	MAFCO	16	3	4	9	12	19	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Moyale Barracks	Silver Strikers
Creck SC	1-2 L	1-0 W
Red Lions	0-1 L	3-0 W
Mighty Wanderers	1-1 D	0-1 L
Civil Service Utd	1-0 W	1-1 D
Karonga United	0-0 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Silver Strikers (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moyale Barracks

DLDWDDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Creck SC Malawi Super League	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
05/09	MAFCO Malawi Super League	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
22/08	Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
15/08	Red Lions Malawi Super League	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
08/08	Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
08/08	Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/07	Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/07	Masters FC Malawi Super League	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
04/07	Blue Eagles Malawi Super League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
28/06	Karonga United Malawi Super League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D

Silver Strikers

DWDWDWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
05/09	Big Bullets Malawi Super League	0-3	0-5	4	4	L
23/08	Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
15/08	Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
08/08	Creck SC Malawi Super League	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
26/07	Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
19/07	Karonga United Malawi Super League	0-0	4-1	4	1	W
05/07	Chitipa United Malawi Super League	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
28/06	Red Lions Malawi Super League	2-0	3-0	9	1	W
20/06	Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League	0-1	1-1	4	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moyale Barracks vs Silver Strikers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Silver Strikers win (44%). Probabilities: Moyale Barracks 26%, draw 30%, Silver Strikers 44%.

How many goals are expected in Moyale Barracks vs Silver Strikers?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Moyale Barracks 0.99 · Silver Strikers 1.34), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Moyale Barracks vs Silver Strikers?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.