Prediction: CD Cuenca Jrs vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Expected goals: 2.4 (CD Cuenca Jrs 1.39 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1.02). The model gives 44% home, 29% draw, 27% away. Under 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, CD Cuenca Jrs sits at 2-3-5 (W-D-L), while San Antonio FC Cotacachi arrives on a 3-4-3 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, CD Cuenca Jrs won 0 and San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0, with 1 draw.

44%1
44% 29% 27%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Cuenca Jrs 1461 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1495
CD Cuenca JrsDrawSan Antonio FC Cotacachi
Our model44%30%26%
Market45%28%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.4CD Cuenca Jrs 1.39 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1.02
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD Cuenca JrsSan Antonio FC Cotacachi
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.61.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/56/22%13/63/25%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.41.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.14.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cuenca Jrs 010 San Antonio FC Cotacachi

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/04/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-1
HT 1-1
CD Cuenca Jrs

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club 9 de Octubre 14842 181028
2 Independiente Juniors 14662 171024
3 Atletico FC Guayaquil 14581 141223
4 Vinotinto Ecuador 15555 201320
5 CD Cuenca Jrs 14554 161820
6 San Antonio FC Cotacachi 14473 181419
7 LDU Portoviejo 14536 131818
8 Gualaceo SC 15654 131017
9 CD Vargas Torres 14464 111015
10 Cumbaya 14365 141615
11 22 de Julio 14338 8176
12 El Nacional 140410 9231

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD Cuenca JrsSan Antonio FC Cotacachi
Independiente Juniors 0-4 L 0-0 D
El Nacional 4-1 W 1-0 W
22 de Julio 3-0 W 0-2 L
Vinotinto Ecuador 0-3 L 1-1 D
Cumbaya 0-3 L 3-0 W
Atletico FC Guayaquil 0-0 D 1-1 D
CD Vargas Torres 0-0 D 1-2 L
LDU Portoviejo 0-1 L 4-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 4 L 3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: San Antonio FC Cotacachi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Cuenca Jrs

LDDLLWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/06 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-3 0-4 55 L
07/06 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
3-1 4-1 47 W
05/06 Macara
Ecuador Cup
0-0 0-1 65 L
30/05 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
2-1 3-3 47 D
21/05 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
3-0 W
14/05 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-3 32 L
07/05 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-2 0-3 117 L
03/05 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 23 D
01/05 CD Vargas Torres
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 34 D
27/04 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-1 25 L

San Antonio FC Cotacachi

LDWDDLWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/06 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
3-1 4-2 55 W
05/06 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 13 D
30/05 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-2 L
24/05 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 34 W
21/05 SD Aucas
Ecuador Cup
0-2 0-3 23 L
16/05 Gualaceo SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-1 44 D
07/05 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-1 1-1 65 D
03/05 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
3-0 W
29/04 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-1 1-1 44 D
25/04 CD Vargas Torres
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 1-2 85 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Cuenca Jrs vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Cuenca Jrs win (44%). Probabilities: CD Cuenca Jrs 44%, draw 29%, San Antonio FC Cotacachi 27%.

How many goals are expected in CD Cuenca Jrs vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

The model expects 2.4 goals (CD Cuenca Jrs 1.39 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Cuenca Jrs vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.