Prediction: LDU Portoviejo vs Club 9 de Octubre
Expected goals: 2.17 (LDU Portoviejo 1.09 · Club 9 de Octubre 1.09). The model gives 34% home, 31% draw, 34% away. Over 2 goals (51%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves LDU Portoviejo with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Club 9 de Octubre has piled up 5-4-1 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, LDU Portoviejo won 0 and Club 9 de Octubre 2.
| LDU Portoviejo | Draw | Club 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Market | 35% | 31% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club 9 de Octubre (rating 1500 vs 1551).
- H2H favours Club 9 de Octubre: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LDU Portoviejo | Club 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 33/56/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.9 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LDU Portoviejo 0–0–2 Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 3-2 HT 1-2 | LDU Portoviejo |
| 11/06/22 Ecuador Cup | LDU Portoviejo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Club 9 de Octubre |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club 9 de Octubre | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Independiente Juniors | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 20 |
| 5 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 20 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Cumbaya | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 8 | CD Vargas Torres | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 18 |
| 10 | Gualaceo SC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LDU Portoviejo | Club 9 de Octubre |
|---|---|---|
| Gualaceo SC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| El Nacional | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Cumbaya | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| CD Vargas Torres | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Independiente Juniors | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Club 9 de Octubre (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LDU Portoviejo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 9 | W |
| 31/05 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 05/05 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 27/04 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/06 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | Manta FC Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LDU Portoviejo vs Club 9 de Octubre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LDU Portoviejo win (34%). Probabilities: LDU Portoviejo 34%, draw 31%, Club 9 de Octubre 34%.
How many goals are expected in LDU Portoviejo vs Club 9 de Octubre?
The model expects 2.17 goals (LDU Portoviejo 1.09 · Club 9 de Octubre 1.09), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in LDU Portoviejo vs Club 9 de Octubre?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.