Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 11/07, 22:00
Prediction: San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs CD Vargas Torres
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.79Total
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1.05
CD Vargas Torres0.74
1X2
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Draw
CD Vargas Torres
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
CD Vargas Torres
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
2–3–1
CD Vargas Torres
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1491 · CD Vargas Torres 1499
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | Draw | CD Vargas Torres | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 35% | 24% |
| Market | 43% | 30% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.79 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours San Antonio FC Cotacachi: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | CD Vargas Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/63/25% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.1 | 1 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 2–3–1 CD Vargas Torres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Vargas Torres | 2-1 HT 1-0 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 30/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CD Vargas Torres |
| 20/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Vargas Torres | 1-2 HT 0-0 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 29/10/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Vargas Torres | 1-1 HT 0-0 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 09/07/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Vargas Torres |
| 19/06/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Vargas Torres | 1-1 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club 9 de Octubre | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Independiente Juniors | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Cumbaya | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 21 |
| 6 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 20 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | LDU Portoviejo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 19 |
| 9 | CD Vargas Torres | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 10 | Gualaceo SC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 27 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | CD Vargas Torres |
|---|---|---|
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| LDU Portoviejo | 4-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Independiente Juniors | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| 22 de Julio | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| El Nacional | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Gualaceo SC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Cumbaya | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Vargas Torres (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | SD Aucas Ecuador Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 07/05 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
CD Vargas Torres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 15/05 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 05/05 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs CD Vargas Torres?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Antonio FC Cotacachi win (42%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC Cotacachi 42%, draw 32%, CD Vargas Torres 26%.
How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs CD Vargas Torres?
The model expects 1.79 goals (San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1.05 · CD Vargas Torres 0.74), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs CD Vargas Torres?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.