Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 11/07, 23:00
Prediction: Club 9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Club 9 de Octubre1.47
Gualaceo SC0.74
1X2
Club 9 de Octubre
Draw
Gualaceo SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Club 9 de Octubre
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Gualaceo SC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club 9 de Octubre
3–1–2
Gualaceo SC
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club 9 de Octubre 1566 · Gualaceo SC 1522
| Club 9 de Octubre | Draw | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 29% | 17% |
| Market | 54% | 28% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club 9 de Octubre (rating 1566 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Club 9 de Octubre: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club 9 de Octubre | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/56/11% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.8 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 4.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club 9 de Octubre 3–1–2 Gualaceo SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Gualaceo SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 29/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Gualaceo SC | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 26/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Gualaceo SC |
| 27/06/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Gualaceo SC |
| 18/04/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Gualaceo SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 30/10/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Gualaceo SC | 0-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club 9 de Octubre | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Independiente Juniors | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Cumbaya | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 21 |
| 6 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 20 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | LDU Portoviejo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 19 |
| 9 | CD Vargas Torres | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 10 | Gualaceo SC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 27 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club 9 de Octubre | Gualaceo SC |
|---|---|---|
| LDU Portoviejo | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Independiente Juniors | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| El Nacional | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| CD Vargas Torres | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| 22 de Julio | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Cumbaya | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 0 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Club 9 de Octubre (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 09/06 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/06 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | Manta FC Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Gualaceo SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 03/06 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/05 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/04 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club 9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club 9 de Octubre win (54%). Probabilities: Club 9 de Octubre 54%, draw 28%, Gualaceo SC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Club 9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Club 9 de Octubre 1.47 · Gualaceo SC 0.74), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Club 9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.