Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 09/07, 22:30

Prediction: CD Cuenca Jrs vs LDU Portoviejo

Expected goals: 2.32 (CD Cuenca Jrs 1.42 · LDU Portoviejo 0.9). The model gives 48% home, 29% draw, 23% away. Under 2.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves CD Cuenca Jrs with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; LDU Portoviejo has piled up 3-4-3 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for CD Cuenca Jrs and 1 for LDU Portoviejo.

48%1
48% 29% 23%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Cuenca Jrs 1472 · LDU Portoviejo 1507
CD Cuenca JrsDrawLDU Portoviejo
Our model48%30%23%
Market49%28%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.32CD Cuenca Jrs 1.42 · LDU Portoviejo 0.9
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD Cuenca JrsLDU Portoviejo
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.51 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/44/22%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.73 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.15.5 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cuenca Jrs 001 LDU Portoviejo

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/04/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
LDU Portoviejo1-0
HT 0-0
CD Cuenca Jrs

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club 9 de Octubre 15852 191129
2 Atletico FC Guayaquil 15681 171226
3 Independiente Juniors 15663 171124
4 CD Cuenca Jrs 15654 171823
5 Vinotinto Ecuador 15555 201320
6 San Antonio FC Cotacachi 15474 181519
7 LDU Portoviejo 15546 141919
8 Cumbaya 15465 181618
9 CD Vargas Torres 15564 121018
10 Gualaceo SC 15654 131017
11 22 de Julio 15339 8216
12 El Nacional 150411 9261

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD Cuenca JrsLDU Portoviejo
San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1-0 W 2-4 L
Independiente Juniors 0-4 L 1-2 L
El Nacional 4-1 W 1-0 W
Club 9 de Octubre 3-3 D 1-1 D
Vinotinto Ecuador 0-3 L 1-0 W
Cumbaya 0-3 L 1-1 D
Atletico FC Guayaquil 0-0 D 1-1 D
CD Vargas Torres 0-0 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 3 L 2 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Cuenca Jrs

DDLLWDLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 44 W
10/06 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-3 0-4 55 L
07/06 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
3-1 4-1 47 W
05/06 Macara
Ecuador Cup
0-0 0-1 65 L
30/05 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
2-1 3-3 47 D
21/05 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
3-0 W
14/05 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-3 32 L
07/05 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-2 0-3 117 L
03/05 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 23 D
01/05 CD Vargas Torres
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 34 D

LDU Portoviejo

LLDDDWWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-1 18 D
10/06 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-3 2-4 95 L
06/06 Gualaceo SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 109 W
31/05 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 57 W
23/05 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 94 W
20/05 Club Atletico Libertad
Ecuador Cup
1-1 1-1 43 D
13/05 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 1-1 56 D
08/05 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-1 76 D
05/05 CD Vargas Torres
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-3 104 L
30/04 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 1-2 07 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Cuenca Jrs vs LDU Portoviejo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Cuenca Jrs win (48%). Probabilities: CD Cuenca Jrs 48%, draw 29%, LDU Portoviejo 23%.

How many goals are expected in CD Cuenca Jrs vs LDU Portoviejo?

The model expects 2.32 goals (CD Cuenca Jrs 1.42 · LDU Portoviejo 0.9), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Cuenca Jrs vs LDU Portoviejo?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.