Prediction: Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta
Team pages: Cuiaba · Ponte Preta
- Ponte Preta1-2Cuiaba
- Ponte Preta2-2Cuiaba
- Cuiaba2-1Ponte Preta
- Ponte Preta3-0Cuiaba
- Cuiaba1-3Ponte Preta
- Ponte Preta1-1Cuiaba
| Cuiaba | Draw | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 80% | 13% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cuiaba (rating 1546 vs 1399).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cuiaba | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 0.2 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5.1 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cuiaba 2–2–2 Ponte Preta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/26 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Cuiaba |
| 11/01/21 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Cuiaba |
| 09/10/20 Brazil Serie B | Cuiaba | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ponte Preta |
| 28/09/19 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Cuiaba |
| 02/06/19 Brazil Serie B | Cuiaba | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Ponte Preta |
| 02/03/17 Copa do Brasil | Ponte Preta | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cuiaba |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 54 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 19 | 53 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 52 |
| 4 | Gremio Novorizontino | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 51 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 50 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 49 |
| 7 | CRB | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 48 |
| 8 | Operario PR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 38 | 48 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40 | 32 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 36 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo SP | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 31 | 42 |
| 13 | Athletic Club MG | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 36 | 33 | 42 |
| 14 | Nautico | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 41 |
| 15 | Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 36 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 36 | 35 |
| 17 | Avai | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 41 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 39 | 43 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 50 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 64 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cuiaba | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| CRB | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Nautico | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Botafogo SP | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Ceara | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cuiaba (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cuiaba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/09 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 09/09 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Ponte Preta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
0-3 | 0-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 08/08 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cuiaba win (80%). Probabilities: Cuiaba 80%, draw 14%, Ponte Preta 6%.
How many goals are expected in Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Cuiaba 2.62 · Ponte Preta 0.62), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.