Football · Brazil Serie B · 02/10, 02:00

Prediction: Gremio Novorizontino vs Goias

Team pages: Gremio Novorizontino · Goias

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Gremio Novorizontino1.63

Goias0.84

1X2

55% 27% 18%

Gremio Novorizontino Draw Goias

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Gremio Novorizontino 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWWDLD

Goias 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDWLLWW

Head-to-head

Gremio Novorizontino 3–2 Goias (5 last)

Goias0-4Gremio Novorizontino
Goias1-0Gremio Novorizontino
Gremio Novorizontino1-0Goias
Goias1-0Gremio Novorizontino
Gremio Novorizontino2-1Goias

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gremio Novorizontino (rating 1547 vs 1484).
H2H favours Gremio Novorizontino: 3-0-2.
High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gremio Novorizontino	Goias
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 8.2	2.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.94

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:44

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.61▲	Pinn 1.61
X	3.62 → 3.66▲	Pinn 3.66
2	5.81 → 5.93▲	Pinn 5.93

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:41 +26’	1.60	3.62	5.81
00:43	1.61▲	3.66▲	5.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gremio Novorizontino 3–0–2 Goias

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/06/26 Brazil Serie B	Goias	0-4 HT 0-1	Gremio Novorizontino
16/11/25 Brazil Serie B	Goias	1-0 HT 0-0	Gremio Novorizontino
24/07/25 Brazil Serie B	Gremio Novorizontino	1-0 HT 1-0	Goias
24/11/24 Brazil Serie B	Goias	1-0 HT 0-0	Gremio Novorizontino
04/08/24 Brazil Serie B	Gremio Novorizontino	2-1 HT 1-0	Goias

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vila Nova	30	16	6	8	43	31	54
2	Gremio Novorizontino	30	14	9	7	49	27	51
3	Fortaleza	29	14	9	6	33	24	51
4	EC Juventude	29	14	8	7	31	19	50
5	Operario PR	29	13	8	8	41	36	47
6	Criciuma	29	13	8	8	28	27	47
7	Atletico GO	29	12	10	7	36	27	46
8	CRB	29	13	6	10	42	41	45
9	Sport Recife	29	11	11	7	39	29	44
10	Cuiaba	29	10	13	6	30	22	43
11	Goias	29	12	6	11	30	35	42
12	Sao Bernardo SP	30	11	9	10	40	31	42
13	Athletic Club MG	29	10	11	8	34	31	41
14	Nautico	29	10	8	11	35	36	38
15	Ceara	29	9	8	12	31	37	35
16	Botafogo SP	29	8	8	13	32	36	32
17	Avai	29	8	6	15	30	38	30
18	Londrina	30	7	7	16	39	43	28
19	America MG	29	4	5	20	21	49	17
20	Ponte Preta	29	3	4	22	17	62	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gremio Novorizontino	Goias
Sao Bernardo SP	0-0 D	2-1 W
Cuiaba	1-1 D	1-1 D
Botafogo SP	3-1 W	3-1 W
Avai	3-1 W	2-1 W
America MG	3-0 W	0-1 L
EC Juventude	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gremio Novorizontino (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gremio Novorizontino

LDWWWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
19/09	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-2	9	8	L
13/09	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
10/09	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-1	4	6	W
05/09	Avai Brazil Serie B	3-1	3-1	8	3	W
29/08	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
25/08	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	4-1	5	3	W
21/08	America MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-0	13	5	W
16/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
09/08	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	8	6	L

Goias

LWLLDWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	8	8	W
15/09	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-1	7	7	W
11/09	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-2	7	7	L
05/09	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
29/08	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
22/08	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	0	3	D
19/08	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
15/08	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
11/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
26/07	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gremio Novorizontino vs Goias?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gremio Novorizontino win (55%). Probabilities: Gremio Novorizontino 55%, draw 27%, Goias 18%.

How many goals are expected in Gremio Novorizontino vs Goias?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Gremio Novorizontino 1.63 · Goias 0.84), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gremio Novorizontino vs Goias?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.