Prediction: CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Team pages: CF Montreal · Vancouver Whitecaps
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
CF Montreal1.41
Vancouver Whitecaps1.56
1X2
CF Montreal
Draw
Vancouver Whitecaps
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CF Montreal
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Vancouver Whitecaps
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CF Montreal
1–2–3
Vancouver Whitecaps
(6 last)
- CF Montreal2-1Vancouver Whitecaps
- Vancouver Whitecaps1-1CF Montreal
- Vancouver Whitecaps2-0CF Montreal
- CF Montreal1-1Vancouver Whitecaps
- Vancouver Whitecaps2-1CF Montreal
- Vancouver Whitecaps5-0CF Montreal
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vancouver Whitecaps (rating 1433 vs 1511).
- H2H favours Vancouver Whitecaps: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CF Montreal | Vancouver Whitecaps | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.9 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.2 | 3.2 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Montreal 1–2–3 Vancouver Whitecaps
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/26 Canada Championships | CF Montreal | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 03/09/26 Canada Championships | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CF Montreal |
| 09/03/25 USA MLS | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CF Montreal |
| 07/07/24 USA MLS | CF Montreal | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 08/06/23 Canada Championships | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2-1 HT 0-0 | CF Montreal |
| 02/04/23 USA MLS | Vancouver Whitecaps | 5-0 HT 3-0 | CF Montreal |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 33 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 50 | 55 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 56 | 48 | 52 |
| 4 | St. Louis City SC | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 48 | 51 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 39 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 35 | 47 |
| 7 | LA Galaxy | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 49 | 55 | 44 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 47 | 43 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 43 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 51 | 51 | 42 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 57 | 60 | 40 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 57 | 62 | 38 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 56 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 63 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 81 | 23 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CF Montreal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | New York City FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 29/10 | Charlotte FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Seattle Sounders USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/10 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Columbus Crew USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 10/09 | Charlotte FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
Vancouver Whitecaps
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Austin FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 15/10 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/10 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | DC United USA MLS |
2-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Real Salt Lake USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 14/09 | Austin FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 10/09 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vancouver Whitecaps win (40%). Probabilities: CF Montreal 33%, draw 27%, Vancouver Whitecaps 40%.
How many goals are expected in CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The model expects 2.98 goals (CF Montreal 1.41 · Vancouver Whitecaps 1.56), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.