Prediction: ToTe/Tapio vs Gnistan/Ogeli
Team pages: ToTe/Tapio · Gnistan/Ogeli
- Gnistan/Ogeli5-1ToTe/Tapio
| ToTe/Tapio | Draw | Gnistan/Ogeli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| Market | 35% | 20% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gnistan/Ogeli (rating 1424 vs 1484).
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ToTe/Tapio | Gnistan/Ogeli | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 3.1 | 1.5 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/22/67% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.6 | 1.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 2.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ToTe/Tapio 0–0–1 Gnistan/Ogeli
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Finland Kolmonen | Gnistan/Ogeli | 5-1 HT 2-1 | ToTe/Tapio |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Futura | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 15 | 41 |
| 2 | Sibbov | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 24 | 29 |
| 3 | JäPS/47 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 27 |
| 4 | RiPS | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Lahti II | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 19 | 24 |
| 6 | Atlantis II | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 42 | 18 |
| 7 | TuPS | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 16 |
| 8 | Gnistan/Ogeli | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 15 |
| 9 | Ponnistus | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 38 | 12 |
| 10 | ToTe/Tapio | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 6 |
| 11 | TiPS U21 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 40 | 5 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ToTe/Tapio | Gnistan/Ogeli |
|---|---|---|
| JäPS/47 | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Futura | 1-2 L | 0-8 L |
| Sibbov | 2-4 L | 1-3 L |
| TuPS | 3-1 W | 0-5 L |
| RiPS | 1-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Atlantis II | 1-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Ponnistus | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| TiPS U21 | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Lahti II | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 6 L | 3 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Gnistan/Ogeli (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ToTe/Tapio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Sibbov Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/07 | TuPS Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 12/06 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
Gnistan/Ogeli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 22/07 | JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/07 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Sibbov Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | TuPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ToTe/Tapio vs Gnistan/Ogeli?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gnistan/Ogeli win (44%). Probabilities: ToTe/Tapio 35%, draw 21%, Gnistan/Ogeli 44%.
How many goals are expected in ToTe/Tapio vs Gnistan/Ogeli?
The model expects 3.97 goals (ToTe/Tapio 1.86 · Gnistan/Ogeli 2.11), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in ToTe/Tapio vs Gnistan/Ogeli?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.