Football · Finland Kolmonen · 01/09, 18:00

Prediction: FC Haka Juniors vs Ylojarvi United

Team pages: FC Haka Juniors · Ylojarvi United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.42Total

FC Haka Juniors2.14

Ylojarvi United2.28

1X2

37% 20% 43%

FC Haka Juniors Draw Ylojarvi United

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Haka Juniors 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Ylojarvi United 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDLLLL

Head-to-head

FC Haka Juniors 3–1–2 Ylojarvi United (6 last)

Ylojarvi United4-2FC Haka Juniors
Ylojarvi United1-5FC Haka Juniors
FC Haka Juniors0-0Ylojarvi United
FC Haka Juniors4-3Ylojarvi United
Ylojarvi United4-0FC Haka Juniors
FC Haka Juniors4-2Ylojarvi United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Haka Juniors 1427 · Ylojarvi United 1458

	FC Haka Juniors	Draw	Ylojarvi United
Our model	37%	21%	42%
Market	37%	20%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Haka Juniors: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Haka Juniors	Ylojarvi United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 3.4	1.9 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/11/56%	33/17/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.3	3.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X4.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.98

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:56 +14’	2.40	4.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Haka Juniors 3–1–2 Ylojarvi United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Ylojarvi United	4-2 HT 2-0	FC Haka Juniors
06/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	Ylojarvi United	1-5 HT 0-3	FC Haka Juniors
28/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	FC Haka Juniors	0-0 HT 0-0	Ylojarvi United
31/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	FC Haka Juniors	4-3 HT 2-1	Ylojarvi United
30/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	Ylojarvi United	4-0 HT 3-0	FC Haka Juniors
05/04/24 Finland Cup	FC Haka Juniors	4-2 HT 2-1	Ylojarvi United

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	17	16	1	0	66	14	49
2	TPV II	17	13	1	3	43	22	40
3	Tampere Utd II	17	12	3	2	38	15	39
4	NoPS	17	12	2	3	56	18	38
5	TP-T	16	7	2	7	42	30	23
6	FC LeKi	16	7	2	7	37	31	23
7	Ylojarvi United	17	7	2	8	33	36	23
8	Saaksjærven Loiske	17	5	2	10	22	41	17
9	FC Haka Juniors	17	5	1	11	29	49	16
10	Fish United	17	3	2	12	20	56	11
11	ACE	17	3	1	13	29	48	10
12	TP-49	17	1	1	15	19	74	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Haka Juniors	Ylojarvi United
Saaksjærven Loiske	1-3 L	0-4 L
TP-T	0-7 L	1-3 L
FC Lasten	1-2 L	1-5 L
TPV II	0-5 L	3-5 L
Tampere Utd II	2-2 D	0-3 L
NoPS	0-7 L	1-4 L
FC LeKi	1-4 L	1-1 D
TP-49	3-1 W	5-0 W
Fish United	3-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Ylojarvi United (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Haka Juniors

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-3	4	1	L
18/08	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-7	3	1	L
11/08	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
07/08	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	–	0-5	–	–	L
28/07	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	2	7	D
24/07	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-7	2	3	L
03/07	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-4	3	2	L
24/06	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
16/06	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
11/06	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	9	3	W

Ylojarvi United

LLWWWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	–	1-5	–	–	L
19/08	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	1-3	3-5	2	7	L
15/08	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
07/08	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	–	1-4	–	–	L
01/08	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
25/07	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	5-0	–	–	W
02/07	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	1-0	4-0	9	5	W
25/06	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	9	2	W
11/06	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	2	5	L
05/06	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	–	0-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Haka Juniors vs Ylojarvi United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ylojarvi United win (43%). Probabilities: FC Haka Juniors 37%, draw 20%, Ylojarvi United 43%.

How many goals are expected in FC Haka Juniors vs Ylojarvi United?

The model expects 4.42 goals (FC Haka Juniors 2.14 · Ylojarvi United 2.28), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Haka Juniors vs Ylojarvi United?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.