Football · Finland Kolmonen · 07/08, 17:30

Prediction: KoPa vs IPS Edustus

Team pages: KoPa · IPS Edustus

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
KoPa1.51
IPS Edustus2.12
1X2
27% 22% 51%
KoPa Draw IPS Edustus
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
KoPa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWLWDL
IPS Edustus 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWDDWWLW
Head-to-head
KoPa 0–2–4 IPS Edustus (6 last)
  • IPS Edustus1-0KoPa
  • IPS Edustus1-1KoPa
  • KoPa0-4IPS Edustus
  • KoPa1-1IPS Edustus
  • IPS Edustus2-1KoPa
  • IPS Edustus4-2KoPa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KoPa 1508 · IPS Edustus 1564
KoPaDrawIPS Edustus
Our model27%23%51%
Market28%21%52%
Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IPS Edustus (rating 1508 vs 1564).
  • H2H favours IPS Edustus: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KoPaIPS Edustus
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.82.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 10.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/33/44%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.13 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.23 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · KoPa 024 IPS Edustus

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
IPS Edustus1-0KoPa
26/07/25
Finland Kolmonen
IPS Edustus1-1
HT 0-1
KoPa
23/07/25
Finland Kolmonen
KoPa0-4
HT 0-1
IPS Edustus
17/05/24
Finland Kolmonen
KoPa1-1
HT 0-0
IPS Edustus
09/06/23
Finland Kolmonen
IPS Edustus2-1
HT 0-1
KoPa
19/08/22
Finland Kolmonen
IPS Edustus4-2
HT 3-1
KoPa

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 IPS Edustus 13931 301730
2 Kultsu FC 13922 371329
3 PeKa 13922 411829
4 MiPK 13823 381826
5 HaPK 13814 312225
6 MP II 13607 282518
7 LAUTP 13526 272917
8 KoPa 13526 182617
9 KJP 13517 211916
10 Edustus STPS 142210 15318
11 Kumu 13229 16468
12 LAUTP II 141112 6444

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKoPaIPS Edustus
HaPK 1-3 L 3-2 W
PeKa 2-2 D 3-3 D
Edustus STPS 4-2 W 2-2 D
MiPK 0-4 L 3-2 W
LAUTP II 1-0 W 2-0 W
Kumu 2-0 W 2-1 W
Kultsu FC 2-2 D 1-1 D
LAUTP 2-0 W 6-2 W
KJP 0-4 L 3-2 W
MP II 3-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 5 W 2 D 3 L 6 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: IPS Edustus (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KoPa

WLWDWWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/07 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-3 43 L
23/07 PeKa
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 2-2 27 D
03/07 Edustus STPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 4-2 23 W
27/06 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-4 65 L
18/06 LAUTP II
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-0 104 W
13/06 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 22 W
05/06 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 2-2 34 D
29/05 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-0 36 W
22/05 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-4 53 L
15/05 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 W

IPS Edustus

DWWWDDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-2 54 W
26/07 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-2 52 L
01/07 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
6-2 W
27/06 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 W
16/06 PeKa
Finland Kolmonen
3-3 D
11/06 Edustus STPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
05/06 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-2 115 W
28/05 LAUTP II
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 61 W
23/05 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W
13/05 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-1 74 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KoPa vs IPS Edustus?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IPS Edustus win (51%). Probabilities: KoPa 27%, draw 22%, IPS Edustus 51%.

How many goals are expected in KoPa vs IPS Edustus?

The model expects 3.64 goals (KoPa 1.51 · IPS Edustus 2.12), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KoPa vs IPS Edustus?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.