Football · Finland Kolmonen · 07/08, 17:30

Prediction: FC LeKi vs ACE

Team pages: FC LeKi · ACE

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.54Total
FC LeKi3.27
ACE1.27
1X2
76% 13% 11%
FC LeKi Draw ACE
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC LeKi 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLWLWLWD
ACE 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLLLW
Head-to-head
FC LeKi 0–1 ACE (1 last)
  • ACE5-4FC LeKi
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC LeKi 1503 · ACE 1413
FC LeKiDrawACE
Our model75%14%11%
Market76%13%11%
Estimated total (ours) 4.54 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC LeKi (rating 1503 vs 1413).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC LeKiACE
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.61.7 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 1.10.7 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/14/43%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.61.6 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.13 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC LeKi 001 ACE

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/04/26
Finland Kolmonen
ACE5-4
HT 4-2
FC LeKi

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Lasten 131210 521137
2 TPV II 13913 291728
3 Tampere Utd II 13832 241427
4 NoPS 13823 381626
5 Ylojarvi United 13724 281923
6 FC LeKi 12525 242217
7 FC Haka Juniors 13517 273216
8 TP-T 12426 222514
9 Saaksjærven Loiske 13427 173214
10 Fish United 14329 183711
11 ACE 132110 24397
12 TP-49 141112 14534

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC LeKiACE
Ylojarvi United 1-1 D 1-3 L
Saaksjærven Loiske 3-1 W 1-2 L
TP-T 0-2 L 1-2 L
FC Haka Juniors 4-1 W 0-5 L
FC Lasten 1-3 L 2-6 L
TPV II 4-2 W 1-2 L
Tampere Utd II 1-2 L 1-4 L
NoPS 0-2 L 2-3 L
TP-49 2-1 W 6-0 W
Fish United 2-1 W 2-5 L
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 4 L 1 W 0 D 9 L

Better against common opponents: FC LeKi (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC LeKi

WWLLWLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Ylojarvi United
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-1 46 D
24/07 Saaksjærven Loiske
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 3-1 23 W
17/07 TP-T
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 36 L
03/07 FC Haka Juniors
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 4-1 92 W
25/06 FC Lasten
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 1-3 55 L
12/06 TPV II
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 4-2 132 W
06/06 Tampere Utd II
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 1-2 33 L
29/05 NoPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 L
16/05 TP-49
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W
08/05 Fish United
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W

ACE

LLLLLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 TP-49
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 6-0 32 W
23/07 Fish United
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 2-5 05 L
03/07 TP-T
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-2 81 L
25/06 Ylojarvi United
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-3 32 L
12/06 Saaksjærven Loiske
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-2 33 L
02/06 FC Haka Juniors
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-5 03 L
29/05 FC Lasten
Finland Kolmonen
2-4 2-6 27 L
20/05 TPV II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-2 12 L
15/05 Tampere Utd II
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 1-4 13 L
08/05 NoPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-3 52 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC LeKi vs ACE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC LeKi win (76%). Probabilities: FC LeKi 76%, draw 13%, ACE 11%.

How many goals are expected in FC LeKi vs ACE?

The model expects 4.54 goals (FC LeKi 3.27 · ACE 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC LeKi vs ACE?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.