Football · Finland Kolmonen · 05/08, 18:00

Prediction: LAUTP II vs Edustus STPS

Team pages: LAUTP II · Edustus STPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

LAUTP II1.07

Edustus STPS2.28

1X2

16% 19% 64%

LAUTP II Draw Edustus STPS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

LAUTP II 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLLLL

Edustus STPS 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLWLLD

Head-to-head

LAUTP II 0–1 Edustus STPS (1 last)

Edustus STPS3-0LAUTP II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LAUTP II 1375 · Edustus STPS 1445

	LAUTP II	Draw	Edustus STPS
Our model	16%	21%	64%
Market	17%	18%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Edustus STPS (rating 1375 vs 1445).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LAUTP II	Edustus STPS
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 3.2	1 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.3	0.3 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/43/57%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.25

X5.00

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.40 → 1.38▼	Bet365 1.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:57 +8’	5.00	5.00	1.40
06:03 +1’	5.25▲	5.00	1.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · LAUTP II 0–0–1 Edustus STPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Edustus STPS	3-0	LAUTP II

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IPS Edustus	13	9	3	1	30	17	30
2	Kultsu FC	13	9	2	2	37	13	29
3	PeKa	13	9	2	2	41	18	29
4	MiPK	13	8	2	3	38	18	26
5	HaPK	13	8	1	4	31	22	25
6	MP II	13	6	0	7	28	25	18
7	LAUTP	13	5	2	6	27	29	17
8	KoPa	13	5	2	6	18	26	17
9	KJP	13	5	1	7	21	19	16
10	Edustus STPS	13	2	2	9	14	29	8
11	Kumu	13	2	2	9	16	46	8
12	LAUTP II	13	0	1	12	4	43	1

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LAUTP II	Edustus STPS
MiPK	0-7 L	0-2 L
LAUTP	0-1 L	0-1 L
Kumu	0-4 L	1-1 D
Kultsu FC	0-8 L	0-4 L
KoPa	0-1 L	2-4 L
KJP	0-1 L	3-1 W
MP II	2-4 L	0-4 L
IPS Edustus	0-2 L	2-2 D
HaPK	0-0 D	0-4 L
PeKa	1-4 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 9 L	1 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Edustus STPS (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LAUTP II

LDLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-7	2	1	L
25/07	LAUTP Finland Kolmonen	–	0-1	–	–	L
02/07	Kumu Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-4	1	3	L
25/06	Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-8	1	1	L
18/06	KoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
11/06	KJP Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
03/06	MP II Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-4	1	4	L
28/05	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
23/05	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/05	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	–	1-4	–	–	L

Edustus STPS

LLLLDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Kumu Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/07	Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	5	1	L
03/07	KoPa Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-4	1	3	L
27/06	KJP Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
17/06	MP II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	1	2	L
11/06	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	–	2-2	–	–	D
06/06	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	–	0-4	–	–	L
27/05	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	–	2-3	–	–	L
20/05	LAUTP Finland Kolmonen	–	0-1	–	–	L
16/05	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LAUTP II vs Edustus STPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Edustus STPS win (64%). Probabilities: LAUTP II 16%, draw 19%, Edustus STPS 64%.

How many goals are expected in LAUTP II vs Edustus STPS?

The model expects 3.35 goals (LAUTP II 1.07 · Edustus STPS 2.28), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in LAUTP II vs Edustus STPS?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.