Prediction: Kumu vs LAUTP
- LAUTP6-2Kumu
| Kumu | Draw | LAUTP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| Market | 25% | 20% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LAUTP (rating 1395 vs 1458).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kumu | LAUTP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.8 | 1.7 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 1 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 3.5 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kumu 0–0–1 LAUTP
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 Finland Kolmonen | LAUTP | 6-2 HT 3-1 | Kumu |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PeKa | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 75 | 27 | 47 |
| 2 | Kultsu FC | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 64 | 32 | 44 |
| 3 | IPS Edustus | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 40 | 40 |
| 4 | MiPK | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 56 | 29 | 39 |
| 5 | KJP | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 24 | 33 |
| 6 | HaPK | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 47 | 43 | 32 |
| 7 | MP II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 41 | 30 |
| 8 | KoPa | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 45 | 26 |
| 9 | LAUTP | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 51 | 22 |
| 10 | Edustus STPS | 20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 47 | 17 |
| 11 | LAUTP II | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 63 | 11 |
| 12 | Kumu | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 25 | 68 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kumu | LAUTP |
|---|---|---|
| Kultsu FC | 1-5 L | 0-4 L |
| KoPa | 1-3 L | 5-2 W |
| KJP | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| MP II | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| IPS Edustus | 2-3 L | 2-6 L |
| HaPK | 1-4 L | 3-3 D |
| PeKa | 2-3 L | 2-6 L |
| Edustus STPS | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| MiPK | 1-5 L | 0-4 L |
| LAUTP II | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 8 L | 2 W 2 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Kumu (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kumu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | KoPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | KJP Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | MP II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | HaPK Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | PeKa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | MiPK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 02/07 | LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
LAUTP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | HaPK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 09/09 | Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 02/09 | PeKa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 26/08 | KoPa Finland Kolmonen |
2-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/08 | Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/08 | KJP Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 06/08 | MiPK Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | MP II Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-6 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kumu vs LAUTP?
According to our model, the most likely result is an LAUTP win (55%). Probabilities: Kumu 25%, draw 20%, LAUTP 55%.
How many goals are expected in Kumu vs LAUTP?
The model expects 4.29 goals (Kumu 1.73 · LAUTP 2.56), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kumu vs LAUTP?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.