Football · Finland Kolmonen · 01/10, 18:00

Prediction: LAUTP II vs Kumu

Team pages: LAUTP II · Kumu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.02Total

LAUTP II2.15

Kumu1.87

1X2

45% 21% 34%

LAUTP II Draw Kumu

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

LAUTP II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Kumu 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

LAUTP II 0–1 Kumu (1 last)

Kumu4-0LAUTP II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LAUTP II 1453 · Kumu 1404

	LAUTP II	Draw	Kumu
Our model	44%	22%	34%
Market	45%	21%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 4.02 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LAUTP II (rating 1453 vs 1404).
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LAUTP II	Kumu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.8	1.4 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 3.6	1 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.33

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:04 +5’	2.00	4.33	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · LAUTP II 0–0–1 Kumu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/07/26 Finland Kolmonen	Kumu	4-0 HT 3-0	LAUTP II

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PeKa	21	16	2	3	79	29	50
2	Kultsu FC	21	14	2	5	64	32	44
3	MiPK	21	12	4	5	58	31	40
4	IPS Edustus	21	12	4	5	52	45	40
5	KJP	21	11	3	7	40	25	36
6	HaPK	21	11	2	8	52	47	35
7	MP II	21	10	0	11	49	45	30
8	KoPa	21	8	3	10	31	47	27
9	LAUTP	21	6	5	10	42	54	23
10	Edustus STPS	21	5	2	14	27	51	17
11	LAUTP II	21	3	2	16	18	63	11
12	Kumu	21	2	3	16	28	71	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LAUTP II	Kumu
Kultsu FC	3-1 W	1-5 L
KoPa	0-1 L	1-3 L
KJP	0-2 L	0-1 L
MP II	1-3 L	2-3 L
IPS Edustus	3-3 D	2-3 L
HaPK	4-1 W	1-4 L
PeKa	1-8 L	2-3 L
Edustus STPS	2-1 W	1-1 D
MiPK	0-7 L	1-5 L
LAUTP	0-1 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 6 L	0 W 2 D 8 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LAUTP II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
17/09	KoPa Finland Kolmonen	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	KJP Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/09	MP II Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
28/08	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	–	3-3	–	–	D
22/08	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-1	2	3	W
13/08	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	0-4	1-8	2	0	L
05/08	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
28/07	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-7	2	1	L
25/07	LAUTP Finland Kolmonen	–	0-1	–	–	L

Kumu

LDLLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	LAUTP Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-3	3	3	D
19/09	Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen	–	1-5	–	–	L
12/09	KoPa Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	KJP Finland Kolmonen	–	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	MP II Finland Kolmonen	–	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	–	2-3	–	–	L
15/08	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-4	1	3	L
07/08	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	–	2-3	–	–	L
01/08	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/07	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	–	1-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LAUTP II vs Kumu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LAUTP II win (45%). Probabilities: LAUTP II 45%, draw 21%, Kumu 34%.

How many goals are expected in LAUTP II vs Kumu?

The model expects 4.02 goals (LAUTP II 2.15 · Kumu 1.87), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in LAUTP II vs Kumu?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.