Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 11/07, 10:15
Prediction: FC Melbourne Srbija vs Manningham United Blues
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
FC Melbourne Srbija1.89
Manningham United Blues1.3
1X2
FC Melbourne Srbija
Draw
Manningham United Blues
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Melbourne Srbija
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Manningham United Blues
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Melbourne Srbija
3–1–0
Manningham United Blues
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Melbourne Srbija 1593 · Manningham United Blues 1446
| FC Melbourne Srbija | Draw | Manningham United Blues | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 21% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Melbourne Srbija (rating 1593 vs 1446).
- H2H favours FC Melbourne Srbija: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Melbourne Srbija | Manningham United Blues | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.6 | 2.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Melbourne Srbija 3–1–0 Manningham United Blues
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Manningham United Blues | 1-2 HT 1-2 | FC Melbourne Srbija |
| 31/05/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Manningham United Blues |
| 22/02/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Manningham United Blues | 2-2 HT 1-2 | FC Melbourne Srbija |
| 20/04/19 Australia FFA Cup | FC Melbourne Srbija | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Manningham United Blues |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northcote City | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 39 |
| 2 | Melbourne Knights | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | Brunswick Juventus | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 36 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 30 |
| 5 | Bulleen Lions | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 29 |
| 7 | Eltham Redbacks | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 34 | 28 |
| 8 | North Geelong | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 34 | 28 |
| 9 | Manningham United Blues | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 26 |
| 10 | Western United FC NPL | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 45 | 25 |
| 11 | Brunswick City | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 23 |
| 12 | Langwarrin | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 42 | 22 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 36 | 15 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne SC | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Melbourne Srbija | Manningham United Blues |
|---|---|---|
| North Sunshine Eagles | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Langwarrin | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Western United FC NPL | 3-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Brunswick City | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Bulleen Lions | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Brunswick Juventus | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Melbourne Victory NPL | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Melbourne Srbija (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Melbourne Srbija
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/04 | St Albans Saints Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Manningham United Blues
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 20/06 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 16/05 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Melbourne Srbija vs Manningham United Blues?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Melbourne Srbija win (51%). Probabilities: FC Melbourne Srbija 51%, draw 22%, Manningham United Blues 26%.
How many goals are expected in FC Melbourne Srbija vs Manningham United Blues?
The model expects 3.2 goals (FC Melbourne Srbija 1.89 · Manningham United Blues 1.3), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Melbourne Srbija vs Manningham United Blues?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.