Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 18/07, 07:00
Prediction: Langwarrin vs Brunswick Juventus
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
Langwarrin1.57
Brunswick Juventus2.25
1X2
Langwarrin
Draw
Brunswick Juventus
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Langwarrin
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Brunswick Juventus
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Langwarrin
1–1–4
Brunswick Juventus
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Langwarrin 1500 · Brunswick Juventus 1541
| Langwarrin | Draw | Brunswick Juventus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| Market | 26% | 21% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brunswick Juventus (rating 1500 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Brunswick Juventus: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Langwarrin | Brunswick Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.1 | 2.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 2.1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Langwarrin 1–1–4 Brunswick Juventus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Brunswick Juventus | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Langwarrin |
| 19/08/23 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Langwarrin | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Brunswick Juventus |
| 12/05/23 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Brunswick Juventus | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Langwarrin |
| 15/07/22 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Brunswick Juventus | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Langwarrin |
| 30/04/22 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Langwarrin | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Brunswick Juventus |
| 02/07/21 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Brunswick Juventus | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Langwarrin |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Knights | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 16 | 41 |
| 2 | Northcote City | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 39 |
| 3 | Brunswick Juventus | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 39 |
| 4 | Eltham Redbacks | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48 | 35 | 31 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48 | 35 | 31 |
| 6 | Bulleen Lions | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 29 |
| 8 | Manningham United Blues | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 38 | 29 |
| 9 | North Geelong | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 37 | 28 |
| 10 | Western United FC NPL | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 50 | 25 |
| 11 | Brunswick City | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 42 | 24 |
| 12 | Langwarrin | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 45 | 23 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 36 | 18 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne SC | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 10 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Langwarrin | Brunswick Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory NPL | 3-3 D | 0-4 L |
| Eltham Redbacks | 1-6 L | 2-1 W |
| Melbourne Knights | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Western United FC NPL | 3-2 W | 5-4 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Brunswick Juventus (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Langwarrin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
3-2 | 4-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
Brunswick Juventus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Marlin Coast Rangers Australia Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/07 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-1 | 5-4 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
3-0 | 7-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Heidelberg Utd Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-5 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Bulleen Lions Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Oakleigh Cannons Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Langwarrin vs Brunswick Juventus?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Brunswick Juventus win (53%). Probabilities: Langwarrin 26%, draw 21%, Brunswick Juventus 53%.
How many goals are expected in Langwarrin vs Brunswick Juventus?
The model expects 3.83 goals (Langwarrin 1.57 · Brunswick Juventus 2.25), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Langwarrin vs Brunswick Juventus?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.