Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 19/07, 06:00
Prediction: Western United FC NPL vs Bulleen Lions
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.76Total
Western United FC NPL1.69
Bulleen Lions2.07
1X2
Western United FC NPL
Draw
Bulleen Lions
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Western United FC NPL
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Bulleen Lions
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Western United FC NPL
4–2
Bulleen Lions
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Western United FC NPL 1486 · Bulleen Lions 1500
| Western United FC NPL | Draw | Bulleen Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 23% | 46% |
| Market | 32% | 21% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Western United FC NPL: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Western United FC NPL | Bulleen Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.6 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.3 | 1.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Western United FC NPL 4–0–2 Bulleen Lions
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Bulleen Lions | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Western United FC NPL |
| 09/07/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Western United FC NPL | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bulleen Lions |
| 10/02/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Bulleen Lions | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Western United FC NPL |
| 11/08/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Western United FC NPL | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Bulleen Lions |
| 06/05/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Bulleen Lions | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Western United FC NPL |
| 19/08/23 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Bulleen Lions | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Western United FC NPL |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Knights | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 16 | 41 |
| 2 | Northcote City | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 39 |
| 3 | Brunswick Juventus | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 39 |
| 4 | Eltham Redbacks | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48 | 35 | 31 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48 | 35 | 31 |
| 6 | Bulleen Lions | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 29 |
| 8 | Manningham United Blues | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 38 | 29 |
| 9 | North Geelong | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 37 | 28 |
| 10 | Western United FC NPL | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 50 | 25 |
| 11 | Brunswick City | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 42 | 24 |
| 12 | Langwarrin | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 45 | 23 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 36 | 18 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne SC | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Western United FC NPL | Bulleen Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Brunswick Juventus | 4-5 L | 5-1 W |
| Melbourne Victory NPL | 3-2 W | 2-4 L |
| Eltham Redbacks | 4-3 W | 2-2 D |
| Port Melbourne SC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Manningham United Blues | 4-3 W | 1-2 L |
| Northcote City | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Melbourne Srbija | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bulleen Lions (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Western United FC NPL
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 19/06 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
3-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 06/06 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
Bulleen Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 5-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 16/06 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/06 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 15/05 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Western United FC NPL vs Bulleen Lions?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bulleen Lions win (46%). Probabilities: Western United FC NPL 32%, draw 22%, Bulleen Lions 46%.
How many goals are expected in Western United FC NPL vs Bulleen Lions?
The model expects 3.76 goals (Western United FC NPL 1.69 · Bulleen Lions 2.07), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Western United FC NPL vs Bulleen Lions?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.