Football · Finland Kolmonen · 06/08, 18:00

Prediction: TiPS U21 vs Ponnistus

Team pages: TiPS U21 · Ponnistus

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
TiPS U211.71
Ponnistus1.92
1X2
34% 23% 43%
TiPS U21 Draw Ponnistus
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
TiPS U21 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LDLLLLWLLL
Ponnistus 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
WLLLLDLDLL
Head-to-head
TiPS U21 0–1 Ponnistus (1 last)
  • Ponnistus1-0TiPS U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TiPS U21 1402 · Ponnistus 1417
TiPS U21DrawPonnistus
Our model34%23%42%
Market35%23%43%
Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TiPS U21Ponnistus
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 2.91 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.80.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/20/70%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.41.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 0.14.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · TiPS U21 001 Ponnistus

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
Ponnistus1-0TiPS U21

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Futura 131111 461034
2 Sibbov 11812 332125
3 RiPS 12714 262222
4 FC Lahti II 11632 181221
5 JäPS/47 11623 251620
6 Atlantis II 12534 251818
7 TuPS 12417 201713
8 Gnistan/Ogeli 12336 172912
9 Ponnistus 12228 14358
10 ToTe/Tapio 12138 15376
11 TiPS U21 12129 11335

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTiPS U21Ponnistus
Gnistan/Ogeli 0-2 L 1-3 L
Atlantis II 3-2 W 3-5 L
TuPS 0-4 L 0-0 D
RiPS 1-4 L 0-1 L
JäPS/47 0-4 L 1-4 L
FC Lahti II 0-4 L 1-2 L
ToTe/Tapio 1-1 D 2-2 D
Sibbov 2-4 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 6 L 0 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Ponnistus (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TiPS U21

LDLLLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Gnistan/Ogeli
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 40 L
30/07 JaPS U21
Finland U21 League
0-1 1-2 13 L
26/07 FC Honka U21
Finland U21 League
1-1 1-2 53 L
23/07 Atlantis II
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-2 112 W
02/07 TuPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-4 21 L
17/06 RiPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 1-4 10 L
11/06 JäPS/47
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 0-4 21 L
05/06 FC Lahti II
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-4 22 L
28/05 ToTe/Tapio
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-1 35 D
23/05 Sibbov
Finland Kolmonen
2-4 2-4 136 L

Ponnistus

WLLLLDLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 RiPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-1 94 L
23/07 Sibbov
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 23 L
27/06 TuPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-0 45 D
12/06 Gnistan/Ogeli
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 L
03/06 ToTe/Tapio
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-2 24 D
31/05 JäPS/47
Finland Kolmonen
1-4 L
22/05 FC Futura
Finland Kolmonen
1-12 L
15/05 Atlantis II
Finland Kolmonen
3-5 L
06/05 FC Lahti II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-2 69 L
03/05 TiPS U21
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TiPS U21 vs Ponnistus?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ponnistus win (43%). Probabilities: TiPS U21 34%, draw 23%, Ponnistus 43%.

How many goals are expected in TiPS U21 vs Ponnistus?

The model expects 3.63 goals (TiPS U21 1.71 · Ponnistus 1.92), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in TiPS U21 vs Ponnistus?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.