Football · Finland Kolmonen · 20/08, 19:00

Prediction: TuPS vs JäPS/47

Team pages: TuPS · JäPS/47

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.96Total
TuPS2.12
JäPS/471.84
1X2
44% 22% 34%
TuPS Draw JäPS/47
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
TuPS 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLDWLLWL
JäPS/47 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWLWWWDW
Head-to-head
TuPS 3–0 JäPS/47 (3 last)
  • JäPS/472-3TuPS
  • TuPS1-0JäPS/47
  • JäPS/471-2TuPS
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TuPS 1506 · JäPS/47 1539
TuPSDrawJäPS/47
Our model44%22%34%
Market45%21%34%
Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours TuPS: 3-0-0.
  • High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TuPSJäPS/47
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.82.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 11.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)44/22/33%86/0/14%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.74.1 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.13 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · TuPS 300 JäPS/47

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
JäPS/472-3
HT 1-0
TuPS
27/09/25
Finland Kolmonen
TuPS1-0JäPS/47
26/06/25
Finland Kolmonen
JäPS/471-2
HT 0-1
TuPS

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Futura 151311 511240
2 Sibbov 12912 502128
3 RiPS 14815 302425
4 JäPS/47 13733 321924
5 FC Lahti II 13652 231723
6 Atlantis II 14536 274218
7 TuPS 14518 272216
8 Gnistan/Ogeli 13436 193015
9 Ponnistus 14338 203812
10 ToTe/Tapio 141310 16436
11 TiPS U21 141211 13405

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTuPSJäPS/47
RiPS 0-3 L 2-4 L
Atlantis II 7-2 W 3-2 W
FC Futura 0-1 L 0-1 L
ToTe/Tapio 1-3 L 4-0 W
TiPS U21 4-0 W 4-0 W
Ponnistus 0-0 D 4-1 W
FC Lahti II 1-2 L 3-3 D
Gnistan/Ogeli 5-0 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 4 L 5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: JäPS/47 (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TuPS

WLWLDWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 RiPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-3 21 L
05/08 Atlantis II
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 7-2 71 W
30/07 FC Futura
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
24/07 ToTe/Tapio
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 1-3 36 L
02/07 TiPS U21
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 4-0 31 W
27/06 Ponnistus
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-0 65 D
17/06 Sibbov
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 3-6 73 L
05/06 MK United
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 5-1 73 W
29/05 FC Lahti II
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-2 34 L
23/05 Gnistan/Ogeli
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 5-0 132 W

JäPS/47

WLLWLWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 ToTe/Tapio
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 4-0 82 W
07/08 FC Lahti II
Finland Kolmonen
3-3 D
22/07 Gnistan/Ogeli
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 3-1 132 W
24/06 Atlantis II
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-2 57 W
11/06 TiPS U21
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 4-0 61 W
03/06 FC Futura
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
31/05 Ponnistus
Finland Kolmonen
4-1 W
22/05 RiPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 2-4 83 L
17/05 TuPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-3 21 L
08/05 ToTe/Tapio
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 3-1 146 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TuPS vs JäPS/47?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TuPS win (44%). Probabilities: TuPS 44%, draw 22%, JäPS/47 34%.

How many goals are expected in TuPS vs JäPS/47?

The model expects 3.96 goals (TuPS 2.12 · JäPS/47 1.84), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in TuPS vs JäPS/47?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.