Football · Finland Kolmonen · 27/08, 17:30

Prediction: JäPS/47 vs RiPS

Team pages: JäPS/47 · RiPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.08Total

JäPS/472.43

RiPS1.66

1X2

54% 20% 26%

JäPS/47 Draw RiPS

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

JäPS/47 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWDWW

RiPS 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLWLWD

Head-to-head

JäPS/47 1–2 RiPS (3 last)

RiPS4-2JäPS/47
JäPS/472-4RiPS
RiPS1-5JäPS/47

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JäPS/47 1550 · RiPS 1527

	JäPS/47	Draw	RiPS
Our model	54%	21%	25%
Market	54%	20%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours RiPS: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JäPS/47	RiPS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.6	2.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.3	1.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	86/0/14%	56/11/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.4	1.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.3 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +50’	1.65	4.50	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JäPS/47 1–0–2 RiPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	RiPS	4-2 HT 1-2	JäPS/47
24/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	JäPS/47	2-4 HT 2-1	RiPS
17/04/25 Finland Kolmonen	RiPS	1-5 HT 0-3	JäPS/47

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Futura	16	13	2	1	54	15	41
2	Sibbov	13	9	2	2	53	24	29
3	JäPS/47	14	8	3	3	35	20	27
4	RiPS	15	8	2	5	32	26	26
5	FC Lahti II	14	6	6	2	25	19	24
6	Atlantis II	15	5	3	7	29	45	18
7	TuPS	15	5	1	9	28	25	16
8	Gnistan/Ogeli	14	4	3	7	22	34	15
9	Ponnistus	15	4	3	8	23	40	15
10	ToTe/Tapio	15	2	3	10	20	46	9
11	TiPS U21	14	1	2	11	13	40	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JäPS/47	RiPS
TuPS	3-1 W	3-0 W
ToTe/Tapio	4-0 W	5-1 W
FC Lahti II	3-3 D	2-2 D
Gnistan/Ogeli	3-1 W	1-2 L
Atlantis II	3-2 W	2-2 D
TiPS U21	4-0 W	4-1 W
FC Futura	0-1 L	0-2 L
Ponnistus	4-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: JäPS/47 (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JäPS/47

LLWLWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/08	TuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	3	2	W
16/08	ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen	1-0	4-0	8	2	W
07/08	FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen	–	3-3	–	–	D
22/07	Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	13	2	W
24/06	Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-2	5	7	W
11/06	TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
03/06	FC Futura Finland Kolmonen	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/05	Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/05	RiPS Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-4	8	3	L
17/05	TuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-3	2	1	L

RiPS

WDLWWLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	4	5	D
14/08	TuPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
07/08	Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-2	7	1	L
31/07	Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/07	FC Futura Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L
04/07	ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen	2-1	5-1	10	1	W
17/06	TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-1	7	0	W
06/06	Sibbov Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
28/05	Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
22/05	JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen	1-2	4-2	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JäPS/47 vs RiPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JäPS/47 win (54%). Probabilities: JäPS/47 54%, draw 20%, RiPS 26%.

How many goals are expected in JäPS/47 vs RiPS?

The model expects 4.08 goals (JäPS/47 2.43 · RiPS 1.66), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JäPS/47 vs RiPS?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.