Football · Finland Kolmonen · 20/08, 19:00

Prediction: FC Lasten vs Saaksjærven Loiske

Team pages: FC Lasten · Saaksjærven Loiske

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.65Total

FC Lasten3.32

Saaksjærven Loiske1.32

1X2

82% 10% 7%

FC Lasten Draw Saaksjærven Loiske

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Lasten 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDWWW

Saaksjærven Loiske 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWLLLL

Head-to-head

FC Lasten 2–1 Saaksjærven Loiske (3 last)

Saaksjærven Loiske1-10FC Lasten
Saaksjærven Loiske1-9FC Lasten
FC Lasten0-3Saaksjærven Loiske

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Lasten 1656 · Saaksjærven Loiske 1453

	FC Lasten	Draw	Saaksjærven Loiske
Our model	75%	14%	11%
Market	88%	7%	4%

Estimated total (ours) 4.65 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 86%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lasten (rating 1656 vs 1453).
H2H favours FC Lasten: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Lasten	Saaksjærven Loiske
Goals for / against (FT)	3.3 / 0.7	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/22/22%	22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.4	2.2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.04

X13.00

221.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.75)1.98

2 (+3.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.95

Under 4.751.85

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
X	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
2	21.00 → 21.00	Bet365 21.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:57 +6’	1.04	13.00	21.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Lasten 2–0–1 Saaksjærven Loiske

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	1-10 HT 1-6	FC Lasten
04/10/25 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	1-9	FC Lasten
03/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	FC Lasten	0-3 HT 0-3	Saaksjærven Loiske

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	15	14	1	0	57	12	43
2	TPV II	15	11	1	3	36	18	34
3	Tampere Utd II	15	10	3	2	29	14	33
4	NoPS	15	10	2	3	44	17	32
5	Ylojarvi United	15	7	2	6	29	26	23
6	TP-T	15	6	2	7	40	30	20
7	FC LeKi	14	6	2	6	31	27	20
8	FC Haka Juniors	16	5	1	10	28	46	16
9	Saaksjærven Loiske	15	4	2	9	18	36	14
10	Fish United	15	3	2	10	19	42	11
11	ACE	15	3	1	11	28	43	10
12	TP-49	15	1	1	13	16	64	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Lasten	Saaksjærven Loiske
FC Haka Juniors	2-1 W	0-3 L
TP-T	3-0 W	2-1 W
TPV II	3-1 W	1-2 L
Tampere Utd II	1-1 D	0-2 L
NoPS	1-0 W	0-2 L
FC LeKi	3-1 W	1-3 L
TP-49	4-0 W	4-3 W
Fish United	6-0 W	0-0 D
ACE	6-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	8 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lasten (9 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Lasten

WWWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
06/08	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	1	3	W
30/07	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	9	7	W
25/07	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
04/07	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
25/06	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-1	9	5	W
17/06	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-1	3	6	W
12/06	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	4-0	–	–	W
04/06	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	2-0	6-0	3	1	W
29/05	ACE Finland Kolmonen	4-2	6-2	4	7	W

Saaksjærven Loiske

LWWWDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
08/08	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	2	1	L
31/07	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
24/07	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	9	3	L
04/07	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-3	4	1	W
24/06	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
12/06	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
05/06	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	–	4-0	–	–	W
28/05	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
19/05	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	6	10	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Lasten vs Saaksjærven Loiske?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Lasten win (82%). Probabilities: FC Lasten 82%, draw 10%, Saaksjærven Loiske 7%.

How many goals are expected in FC Lasten vs Saaksjærven Loiske?

The model expects 4.65 goals (FC Lasten 3.32 · Saaksjærven Loiske 1.32), with a 53% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Lasten vs Saaksjærven Loiske?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.