Football · Finland Kolmonen · 27/08, 17:30

Prediction: TP-T vs FC LeKi

Team pages: TP-T · FC LeKi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.31Total
TP-T2.42
FC LeKi1.88
1X2
50% 20% 30%
TP-T Draw FC LeKi
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 7%
Recent form · 10 last
TP-T 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
DWLWWLWLWW
FC LeKi 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWLWDLWW
Head-to-head
TP-T 1–0 FC LeKi (1 last)
  • FC LeKi0-2TP-T
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TP-T 1538 · FC LeKi 1514
TP-TDrawFC LeKi
Our model50%21%30%
Market50%20%30%
Estimated total (ours) 4.31 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TP-TFC LeKi
Goals for / against (FT)3.1 / 1.52.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.41 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)44/33/22%38/13/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.62.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.13.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · TP-T 100 FC LeKi

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/07/26
Finland Kolmonen
FC LeKi0-2
HT 0-1
TP-T

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Lasten 161510 611346
2 TPV II 161213 412137
3 Tampere Utd II 161132 321436
4 NoPS 161123 521735
5 FC LeKi 15726 372923
6 Ylojarvi United 16727 323123
7 TP-T 15627 403020
8 FC Haka Juniors 165110 284616
9 Saaksjærven Loiske 164210 194014
10 Fish United 163211 195011
11 ACE 163112 284610
12 TP-49 161114 18704

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTP-TFC LeKi
FC Haka Juniors 7-0 W 4-1 W
TP-49 11-2 W 6-2 W
FC Lasten 0-3 L 1-3 L
Fish United 4-1 W 5-1 W
TPV II 0-3 L 4-2 W
ACE 2-1 W 2-4 L
Tampere Utd II 0-2 L 1-2 L
Ylojarvi United 3-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 3 L 4 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TP-T

DWLWWLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 FC Haka Juniors
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 7-0 91 W
13/08 TP-49
Finland Kolmonen
5-0 11-2 100 W
06/08 FC Lasten
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-3 33 L
30/07 Fish United
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 4-1 74 W
22/07 TPV II
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-3 47 L
17/07 FC LeKi
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 46 W
03/07 ACE
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-1 61 W
27/06 Tampere Utd II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 13 L
11/06 Ylojarvi United
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-1 65 W
05/06 NoPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D

FC LeKi

LWLWLWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/08 TP-49
Finland Kolmonen
6-2 W
13/08 Fish United
Finland Kolmonen
5-1 W
07/08 ACE
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-4 53 L
01/08 Ylojarvi United
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-1 46 D
24/07 Saaksjærven Loiske
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 3-1 23 W
17/07 TP-T
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 36 L
03/07 FC Haka Juniors
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 4-1 92 W
25/06 FC Lasten
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 1-3 55 L
12/06 TPV II
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 4-2 132 W
06/06 Tampere Utd II
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 1-2 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TP-T vs FC LeKi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TP-T win (50%). Probabilities: TP-T 50%, draw 20%, FC LeKi 30%.

How many goals are expected in TP-T vs FC LeKi?

The model expects 4.31 goals (TP-T 2.42 · FC LeKi 1.88), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in TP-T vs FC LeKi?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.