Prediction: TPV II vs FC LeKi
- FC LeKi4-2TPV II
| TPV II | Draw | FC LeKi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 20% | 30% |
| Market | 51% | 18% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TPV II (rating 1598 vs 1520).
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TPV II | FC LeKi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.8 / 1.2 | 2.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/38/13% | 29/29/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.1 | 1.6 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TPV II 0–0–1 FC LeKi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 Finland Kolmonen | FC LeKi | 4-2 HT 1-0 | TPV II |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lasten | 19 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 77 | 16 | 55 |
| 2 | TPV II | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 55 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | NoPS | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 64 | 21 | 44 |
| 4 | Tampere Utd II | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | FC LeKi | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 42 | 35 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Haka Juniors | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 57 | 25 |
| 7 | TP-T | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 37 | 23 |
| 8 | Ylojarvi United | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 44 | 23 |
| 9 | Saaksjærven Loiske | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 42 | 23 |
| 10 | Fish United | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 23 | 66 | 11 |
| 11 | ACE | 19 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 32 | 58 | 10 |
| 12 | TP-49 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 20 | 100 | 4 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TPV II | FC LeKi |
|---|---|---|
| TP-49 | 10-1 W | 6-2 W |
| Fish United | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| ACE | 2-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Ylojarvi United | 5-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Saaksjærven Loiske | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| FC Haka Juniors | 5-0 W | 4-1 W |
| TP-T | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Tampere Utd II | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| NoPS | 5-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 9 W 0 D 0 L | 5 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: TPV II (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TPV II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 10-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/09 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/08 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 5-3 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 14/08 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/07 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 22/07 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 04/07 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 24/06 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
FC LeKi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 27/08 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 6-2 | – | – | W |
| 13/08 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/08 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TPV II vs FC LeKi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a TPV II win (51%). Probabilities: TPV II 51%, draw 19%, FC LeKi 30%.
How many goals are expected in TPV II vs FC LeKi?
The model expects 4.62 goals (TPV II 2.6 · FC LeKi 2.02), with a 51% chance of over 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in TPV II vs FC LeKi?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.