Football · Finland Kolmonen · 26/09, 13:00

Prediction: KPV Akatemia vs SIF

Team pages: KPV Akatemia · SIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.42Total

KPV Akatemia1.69

SIF2.74

1X2

22% 18% 60%

KPV Akatemia Draw SIF

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

KPV Akatemia 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLWLD

SIF 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

KPV Akatemia 2–1–3 SIF (6 last)

SIF3-2KPV Akatemia
SIF2-2KPV Akatemia
KPV Akatemia4-0SIF
SIF5-1KPV Akatemia
KPV Akatemia3-1SIF
SIF2-1KPV Akatemia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KPV Akatemia 1457 · SIF 1573

	KPV Akatemia	Draw	SIF
Our model	22%	19%	59%
Market	22%	18%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SIF (rating 1457 vs 1573).
H2H favours SIF: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KPV Akatemia	SIF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.4	2.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	1.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	75/25/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.5	2.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.00

X5.00

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.80

2 (-1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.95

Under 4.251.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:12 +4’	4.00	5.00	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KPV Akatemia 2–1–3 SIF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/07/26 Finland Kolmonen	SIF	3-2 HT 2-0	KPV Akatemia
23/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	SIF	2-2 HT 1-0	KPV Akatemia
04/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	KPV Akatemia	4-0 HT 2-0	SIF
04/07/24 Finland Kolmonen	SIF	5-1 HT 3-1	KPV Akatemia
18/09/23 Finland Kolmonen	KPV Akatemia	3-1 HT 1-0	SIF
15/06/23 Finland Kolmonen	SIF	2-1 HT 1-1	KPV Akatemia

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VIFK	19	15	2	2	61	15	47
2	FC Kiisto	20	10	4	6	48	30	34
3	SIF	19	10	3	6	43	35	33
4	FC Ylivieska	19	9	4	6	44	41	31
5	Virkia	19	8	3	8	39	40	27
6	VPV Pallo-Veikot	18	7	2	9	23	27	23
7	SJK-j	19	6	5	8	30	36	23
8	Sporting Kristina	18	6	4	8	27	33	22
9	Nykarleby IK	19	6	4	9	28	42	22
10	LBK	19	6	1	12	27	51	19
11	KPV Akatemia	19	4	2	13	36	56	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KPV Akatemia	SIF
FC Ylivieska	2-2 D	4-3 W
Nykarleby IK	1-2 L	4-3 W
Sporting Kristina	3-1 W	2-1 W
VIFK	0-4 L	1-3 L
FC Kiisto	3-0 W	1-5 L
LBK	1-3 L	2-0 W
VPV Pallo-Veikot	0-1 L	3-2 W
Virkia	2-4 L	5-0 W
SJK-j	3-6 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 6 L	7 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SIF (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KPV Akatemia

LWLLLWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	–	2-2	–	–	D
09/09	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	11	3	L
01/09	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	3	5	W
26/08	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-4	1	1	L
17/08	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	2	0	W
08/08	LBK Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-3	8	3	L
04/08	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/07	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-4	4	6	L
23/07	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
16/07	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	1-3	3-6	2	2	L

SIF

WWWLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/09	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	3-0	4-1	8	3	W
05/09	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	–	5-0	–	–	W
27/08	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	2-2	4-3	4	6	W
18/08	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-3	9	2	W
07/08	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-3	0	8	L
30/07	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-5	5	5	L
16/07	LBK Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
10/07	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-1	7	2	W
01/07	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-2	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KPV Akatemia vs SIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SIF win (60%). Probabilities: KPV Akatemia 22%, draw 18%, SIF 60%.

How many goals are expected in KPV Akatemia vs SIF?

The model expects 4.42 goals (KPV Akatemia 1.69 · SIF 2.74), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KPV Akatemia vs SIF?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.