Football · Finland Kolmonen · 12/08, 18:00

Prediction: PK-37 vs NiemU

Team pages: PK-37

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

PK-371.62

NiemU1.84

1X2

34% 23% 43%

PK-37 Draw NiemU

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

PK-37 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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NiemU 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLDWWW

Head-to-head

PK-37 2–1–3 NiemU (6 last)

NiemU4-0PK-37
PK-370-1NiemU
PK-371-3NiemU
PK-373-2NiemU
NiemU1-1PK-37
PK-374-0NiemU

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PK-37 1470 · NiemU 1585

	PK-37	Draw	NiemU
Our model	33%	24%	43%
Market	34%	22%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NiemU (rating 1470 vs 1585).
H2H favours NiemU: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PK-37	NiemU
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.8	2.8 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.6 / 6	3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.10

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:57 +7’	2.60	4.10	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PK-37 2–1–3 NiemU

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	NiemU	4-0	PK-37
26/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	PK-37	0-1	NiemU
10/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	PK-37	1-3	NiemU
24/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	PK-37	3-2 HT 2-0	NiemU
07/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	NiemU	1-1 HT 1-0	PK-37
05/06/24 Finland Kolmonen	PK-37	4-0 HT 4-0	NiemU

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kings SC	15	13	0	2	55	20	39
2	NiemU	15	12	1	2	37	10	37
3	KUPS Akatemia II	15	6	2	7	34	34	20
4	Jippo II	15	5	4	6	31	30	19
5	Yllatys	15	5	3	7	29	34	18
6	PK-37	15	4	3	8	24	35	15
7	SC Zulimanit	15	4	2	9	17	31	14
8	ToU	15	3	1	11	14	47	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PK-37	NiemU
Jippo II	4-7 L	2-1 W
Yllatys	1-1 D	1-1 D
KUPS Akatemia II	1-0 W	3-0 W
SC Zulimanit	2-0 W	3-1 W
ToU	3-0 W	3-1 W
Kings SC	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NiemU (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PK-37

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	Jippo II Finland Kolmonen	1-3	4-7	4	4	L
01/08	Yllatys Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
24/07	KUPS Akatemia II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
19/07	SC Zulimanit Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
28/06	ToU Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	10	4	W
17/06	Kings SC Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
13/06	NiemU Finland Kolmonen	–	0-4	–	–	L
07/06	Jippo II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
31/05	Yllatys Finland Kolmonen	–	2-6	–	–	L
21/05	KUPS Akatemia II Finland Kolmonen	–	3-5	0	0	L

NiemU

WWWWWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	SC Zulimanit Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
30/07	Jippo II Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/07	ToU Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/07	Yllatys Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/06	Kings SC Finland Kolmonen	–	0-1	–	–	L
16/06	KUPS Akatemia II Finland Kolmonen	–	3-0	–	–	W
13/06	PK-37 Finland Kolmonen	–	4-0	–	–	W
06/06	SC Zulimanit Finland Kolmonen	–	4-0	–	–	W
29/05	Jippo II Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
23/05	ToU Finland Kolmonen	–	6-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PK-37 vs NiemU?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NiemU win (43%). Probabilities: PK-37 34%, draw 23%, NiemU 43%.

How many goals are expected in PK-37 vs NiemU?

The model expects 3.46 goals (PK-37 1.62 · NiemU 1.84), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in PK-37 vs NiemU?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.