Football · Finland Kolmonen · 12/08, 18:00

Prediction: LAUTP vs KJP

Team pages: LAUTP · KJP

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

LAUTP1.94

KJP1.92

1X2

39% 22% 39%

LAUTP Draw KJP

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

LAUTP 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLWLL

KJP 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWLLW

Head-to-head

LAUTP 0–1–3 KJP (4 last)

KJP2-2LAUTP
LAUTP0-2KJP
KJP3-2LAUTP
LAUTP1-2KJP

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LAUTP 1445 · KJP 1498

	LAUTP	Draw	KJP
Our model	39%	23%	38%
Market	40%	21%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KJP (rating 1445 vs 1498).
H2H favours KJP: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LAUTP	KJP
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.8	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/14/43%	29/29/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	1.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X4.20

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:29 +36’	2.25	4.20	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · LAUTP 0–1–3 KJP

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	KJP	2-2 HT 2-2	LAUTP
08/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	LAUTP	0-2 HT 0-0	KJP
09/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	KJP	3-2	LAUTP
29/06/24 Finland Kolmonen	LAUTP	1-2 HT 1-2	KJP

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kultsu FC	14	10	2	2	42	16	32
2	PeKa	14	10	2	2	44	20	32
3	IPS Edustus	14	9	3	2	32	20	30
4	MiPK	14	9	2	3	42	18	29
5	HaPK	14	8	1	5	34	27	25
6	KoPa	14	6	2	6	21	28	20
7	KJP	14	6	1	7	24	19	19
8	MP II	14	6	0	8	28	28	18
9	LAUTP	14	5	2	7	27	33	17
10	Edustus STPS	14	2	2	10	15	31	8
11	Kumu	14	2	2	10	18	49	8
12	LAUTP II	14	1	1	12	6	44	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LAUTP	KJP
MiPK	0-4 L	1-3 L
MP II	2-3 L	3-0 W
LAUTP II	1-0 W	1-0 W
IPS Edustus	2-6 L	2-3 L
Kumu	6-2 W	4-0 W
HaPK	2-5 L	0-2 L
Kultsu FC	0-3 L	1-3 L
PeKa	1-3 L	2-0 W
KoPa	0-2 L	4-0 W
Edustus STPS	1-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 7 L	5 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: KJP (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LAUTP

WLLLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-4	3	3	L
29/07	MP II Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-3	5	5	L
25/07	LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W
01/07	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	–	2-6	–	–	L
24/06	Kumu Finland Kolmonen	3-1	6-2	6	5	W
17/06	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-5	1	6	L
10/06	Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
04/06	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-3	2	5	L
29/05	KoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	7	6	L
20/05	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W

KJP

WLWWLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	MP II Finland Kolmonen	–	3-0	–	–	W
29/07	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	7	4	L
25/07	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
02/07	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
27/06	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
17/06	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-3	5	2	L
11/06	LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
06/06	Kumu Finland Kolmonen	–	4-0	–	–	W
28/05	Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
22/05	KoPa Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LAUTP vs KJP?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LAUTP win (39%). Probabilities: LAUTP 39%, draw 22%, KJP 39%.

How many goals are expected in LAUTP vs KJP?

The model expects 3.86 goals (LAUTP 1.94 · KJP 1.92), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in LAUTP vs KJP?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.