Football · Finland Kolmonen · 21/08, 17:30

Prediction: KoPa vs KJP

Team pages: KoPa · KJP

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

KoPa1.67

KJP1.73

1X2

37% 23% 40%

KoPa Draw KJP

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

KoPa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWDLWL

KJP 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWLLWD

Head-to-head

KoPa 2–4 KJP (6 last)

KJP4-0KoPa
KJP1-0KoPa
KoPa3-6KJP
KJP2-0KoPa
KoPa2-1KJP
KoPa2-0KJP

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KoPa 1496 · KJP 1504

	KoPa	Draw	KJP
Our model	36%	25%	39%
Market	38%	22%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KJP: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KoPa	KJP
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	14/43/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4	2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X4.00

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.45▲	Bet365 2.45
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.25 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:40 +8’	2.40	4.00	2.25
06:38 +5’	2.45▲	4.00	2.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KoPa 2–0–4 KJP

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	KJP	4-0 HT 2-0	KoPa
06/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	KJP	1-0 HT 1-0	KoPa
06/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	KoPa	3-6 HT 3-2	KJP
30/09/23 Finland Kolmonen	KJP	2-0 HT 0-0	KoPa
17/06/23 Finland Kolmonen	KoPa	2-1 HT 0-1	KJP
31/05/22 Finland Kolmonen	KoPa	2-0 HT 0-0	KJP

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PeKa	15	11	2	2	52	21	35
2	IPS Edustus	15	10	3	2	34	21	33
3	Kultsu FC	15	10	2	3	43	18	32
4	MiPK	15	9	2	4	42	20	29
5	HaPK	15	9	1	5	38	28	28
6	MP II	15	7	0	8	33	28	21
7	KJP	15	6	2	7	25	20	20
8	KoPa	15	6	2	7	21	33	20
9	LAUTP	15	5	3	7	28	34	18
10	Edustus STPS	15	3	2	10	17	31	11
11	Kumu	15	2	2	11	19	53	8
12	LAUTP II	15	1	1	13	7	52	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KoPa	KJP
MP II	0-5 L	3-0 W
IPS Edustus	3-2 W	2-3 L
HaPK	1-3 L	0-2 L
PeKa	2-2 D	2-0 W
Edustus STPS	4-2 W	1-3 L
MiPK	0-4 L	1-3 L
LAUTP II	1-0 W	1-0 W
Kumu	2-0 W	4-0 W
Kultsu FC	2-2 D	1-3 L
LAUTP	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KoPa

WDWWLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	MP II Finland Kolmonen	–	0-5	–	–	L
07/08	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
28/07	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-3	4	3	L
23/07	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	2	7	D
03/07	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-2	2	3	W
27/06	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	6	5	L
18/06	LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
13/06	Kumu Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
05/06	Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	3	4	D
29/05	LAUTP Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	3	6	W

KJP

LWWLLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	LAUTP Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	8	1	D
08/08	MP II Finland Kolmonen	–	3-0	–	–	W
29/07	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	7	4	L
25/07	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
02/07	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
27/06	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
17/06	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-3	5	2	L
11/06	LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
06/06	Kumu Finland Kolmonen	–	4-0	–	–	W
28/05	Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KoPa vs KJP?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KJP win (40%). Probabilities: KoPa 37%, draw 23%, KJP 40%.

How many goals are expected in KoPa vs KJP?

The model expects 3.41 goals (KoPa 1.67 · KJP 1.73), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KoPa vs KJP?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.