Football · Finland Kolmonen · 26/08, 17:30

Prediction: LAUTP vs KoPa

Team pages: LAUTP · KoPa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

LAUTP1.97

KoPa1.53

1X2

48% 22% 30%

LAUTP Draw KoPa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

LAUTP 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLDL

KoPa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDLWLL

Head-to-head

LAUTP 2–2 KoPa (4 last)

KoPa2-0LAUTP
LAUTP1-0KoPa
KoPa1-0LAUTP
LAUTP1-0KoPa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LAUTP 1412 · KoPa 1487

	LAUTP	Draw	KoPa
Our model	47%	24%	29%
Market	49%	21%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KoPa (rating 1412 vs 1487).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LAUTP	KoPa
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.9	1.5 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/29/43%	22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	2.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.33

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:58 +6’	1.83	4.33	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · LAUTP 2–0–2 KoPa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	KoPa	2-0 HT 0-0	LAUTP
26/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	LAUTP	1-0 HT 0-0	KoPa
27/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	KoPa	1-0	LAUTP
13/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	LAUTP	1-0 HT 0-0	KoPa

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PeKa	16	12	2	2	54	22	38
2	IPS Edustus	16	11	3	2	37	23	36
3	Kultsu FC	16	11	2	3	48	22	35
4	MiPK	16	9	2	5	43	22	29
5	HaPK	16	9	1	6	39	32	28
6	KJP	16	7	2	7	27	20	23
7	MP II	16	7	0	9	37	33	21
8	KoPa	16	6	2	8	21	35	20
9	LAUTP	16	5	3	8	29	36	18
10	Edustus STPS	16	4	2	10	19	32	14
11	Kumu	16	2	2	12	21	56	8
12	LAUTP II	16	2	1	13	11	53	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LAUTP	KoPa
Edustus STPS	1-2 L	4-2 W
KJP	1-1 D	0-2 L
MiPK	0-4 L	0-4 L
MP II	2-3 L	0-5 L
IPS Edustus	2-6 L	3-2 W
HaPK	2-5 L	1-3 L
Kultsu FC	0-3 L	2-2 D
PeKa	1-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: KoPa (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LAUTP

WLLLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/08	KJP Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
06/08	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-4	3	3	L
29/07	MP II Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-3	5	5	L
01/07	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	–	2-6	–	–	L
17/06	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-5	1	6	L
10/06	Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
04/06	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-3	2	5	L
29/05	KoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	7	6	L
20/05	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W

KoPa

DWWLWDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	KJP Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	9	7	L
14/08	MP II Finland Kolmonen	–	0-5	–	–	L
07/08	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
28/07	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-3	4	3	L
23/07	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	2	7	D
03/07	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-2	2	3	W
27/06	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	6	5	L
18/06	LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
13/06	Kumu Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
05/06	Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LAUTP vs KoPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LAUTP win (48%). Probabilities: LAUTP 48%, draw 22%, KoPa 30%.

How many goals are expected in LAUTP vs KoPa?

The model expects 3.5 goals (LAUTP 1.97 · KoPa 1.53), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in LAUTP vs KoPa?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.