Football · Finland Kolmonen · 27/08, 17:45

Prediction: TiPS U21 vs Sibbov

Team pages: TiPS U21 · Sibbov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.78Total

TiPS U211.39

Sibbov3.39

1X2

10% 13% 77%

TiPS U21 Draw Sibbov

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

TiPS U21 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLWLLL

Sibbov 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWWWD

Head-to-head

TiPS U21 1–1 Sibbov (2 last)

Sibbov4-2TiPS U21
TiPS U213-0Sibbov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TiPS U21 1373 · Sibbov 1583

	TiPS U21	Draw	Sibbov
Our model	11%	14%	75%
Market	8%	12%	79%

Estimated total (ours) 4.78 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sibbov (rating 1373 vs 1583).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TiPS U21	Sibbov
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 3.2	4.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 2	1.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/11/78%	71/29/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.8	2.6 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

111.00

X7.50

21.17

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.75)1.82

2 (-2.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 51.90

Under 51.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 5.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.50 → 11.00▲	Bet365 11.00
X	7.00 → 7.50▲	Bet365 7.50
2	1.18 → 1.17▼	Bet365 1.17

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:54 +12’	9.50	7.00	1.18
17:09 +2’	11.00▲	7.50▲	1.17▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TiPS U21 1–0–1 Sibbov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Sibbov	4-2 HT 4-2	TiPS U21
31/03/26 Finland Cup	TiPS U21	3-0 HT 1-0	Sibbov

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Futura	16	13	2	1	54	15	41
2	Sibbov	13	9	2	2	53	24	29
3	JäPS/47	14	8	3	3	35	20	27
4	RiPS	15	8	2	5	32	26	26
5	FC Lahti II	14	6	6	2	25	19	24
6	Atlantis II	15	5	3	7	29	45	18
7	TuPS	15	5	1	9	28	25	16
8	Gnistan/Ogeli	14	4	3	7	22	34	15
9	Ponnistus	15	4	3	8	23	40	15
10	ToTe/Tapio	15	2	3	10	20	46	9
11	TiPS U21	14	1	2	11	13	40	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TiPS U21	Sibbov
FC Futura	1-3 L	3-3 D
Ponnistus	1-4 L	2-0 W
Gnistan/Ogeli	0-2 L	3-1 W
Atlantis II	3-2 W	17-0 W
TuPS	0-4 L	6-3 W
RiPS	1-4 L	3-2 W
FC Lahti II	0-4 L	2-2 D
ToTe/Tapio	1-1 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sibbov (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TiPS U21

LDLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	FC Futura Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
06/08	Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-4	5	7	L
01/08	Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	4	0	L
23/07	Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-2	11	2	W
02/07	TuPS Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	2	1	L
17/06	RiPS Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-4	1	0	L
11/06	JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-4	2	1	L
05/06	FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	2	2	L
28/05	ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
23/05	Sibbov Finland Kolmonen	2-4	2-4	13	6	L

Sibbov

LWWWWDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FC Futura Finland Kolmonen	–	3-3	–	–	D
15/08	Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen	–	17-0	–	–	W
01/08	ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen	1-1	4-2	10	4	W
23/07	Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
24/06	FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	6	6	D
17/06	TuPS Finland Kolmonen	3-1	6-3	6	3	W
06/06	RiPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	3	7	W
30/05	Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	7	3	W
23/05	TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen	4-2	4-2	1	6	W
15/05	FC Futura Finland Kolmonen	–	1-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TiPS U21 vs Sibbov?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sibbov win (77%). Probabilities: TiPS U21 10%, draw 13%, Sibbov 77%.

How many goals are expected in TiPS U21 vs Sibbov?

The model expects 4.78 goals (TiPS U21 1.39 · Sibbov 3.39), with a 54% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in TiPS U21 vs Sibbov?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.