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Football · Finland Kolmonen · 26/09, 12:00

Prediction: Sibbov vs FC Lahti II

Team pages: Sibbov · FC Lahti II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.47Total
Sibbov3.21
FC Lahti II1.26
1X2
75% 14% 11%
Sibbov Draw FC Lahti II
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Sibbov 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWDWWWD
FC Lahti II 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DWDDDDDWLL
Head-to-head
Sibbov 0–1–0 FC Lahti II (1 last)
  • FC Lahti II2-2Sibbov
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sibbov 1606 · FC Lahti II 1488
SibbovDrawFC Lahti II
Our model75%14%11%
Market75%13%12%
Estimated total (ours) 4.47 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sibbov (rating 1606 vs 1488).
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SibbovFC Lahti II
Goals for / against (FT)4.9 / 1.41.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.30.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)57/43/0%43/14/43%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.93.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.33 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sibbov 0–1–0 FC Lahti II

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/06/26
Finland Kolmonen
FC Lahti II2-2
HT 0-1
Sibbov

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Futura 181521 621547
2 Sibbov 171232 682839
3 JäPS/47 181134 532536
4 RiPS 18927 453329
5 FC Lahti II 18774 293128
6 TuPS 197210 373023
7 Ponnistus 206410 335022
8 Atlantis II 196310 336421
9 Gnistan/Ogeli 18549 274619
10 ToTe/Tapio 193412 235413
11 TiPS U21 182214 21558

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSibbovFC Lahti II
TuPS 1-1 D 2-0 W
RiPS 4-1 W 2-2 D
Gnistan/Ogeli 7-2 W 2-0 W
TiPS U21 3-0 W 2-7 L
FC Futura 3-3 D 0-5 L
Atlantis II 17-0 W 1-1 D
ToTe/Tapio 4-2 W 0-0 D
Ponnistus 2-0 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 6 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sibbov (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sibbov

WDWWWDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 TuPS
Finland Kolmonen
 0-0 1-1 310 D
12/09 RiPS
Finland Kolmonen
 – 4-1 –– W
05/09 Gnistan/Ogeli
Finland Kolmonen
 2-0 7-2 63 W
27/08 TiPS U21
Finland Kolmonen
 0-0 3-0 81 W
22/08 FC Futura
Finland Kolmonen
 – 3-3 –– D
15/08 Atlantis II
Finland Kolmonen
 – 17-0 –– W
01/08 ToTe/Tapio
Finland Kolmonen
 1-1 4-2 104 W
23/07 Ponnistus
Finland Kolmonen
 1-0 2-0 93 W
24/06 FC Lahti II
Finland Kolmonen
 1-0 2-2 66 D
17/06 TuPS
Finland Kolmonen
 3-1 6-3 63 W

FC Lahti II

DWDDDDDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 FC Futura
Finland Kolmonen
 – 0-5 –– L
10/09 TiPS U21
Finland Kolmonen
 0-2 2-7 91 L
03/09 TuPS
Finland Kolmonen
 1-0 2-0 15 W
28/08 ToTe/Tapio
Finland Kolmonen
 – 0-0 –– D
21/08 RiPS
Finland Kolmonen
 2-1 2-2 35 D
14/08 Ponnistus
Finland Kolmonen
 1-1 2-2 44 D
07/08 JäPS/47
Finland Kolmonen
 – 3-3 –– D
01/08 Atlantis II
Finland Kolmonen
 0-1 1-1 90 D
02/07 Gnistan/Ogeli
Finland Kolmonen
 1-0 2-0 64 W
24/06 Sibbov
Finland Kolmonen
 0-1 2-2 66 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sibbov vs FC Lahti II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sibbov win (75%). Probabilities: Sibbov 75%, draw 14%, FC Lahti II 11%.

How many goals are expected in Sibbov vs FC Lahti II?

The model expects 4.47 goals (Sibbov 3.21 · FC Lahti II 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sibbov vs FC Lahti II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.