Football · Finland Kolmonen · 08/08, 13:00

Prediction: Tampere Utd II vs Saaksjærven Loiske

Team pages: Tampere Utd II · Saaksjærven Loiske

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

Tampere Utd II2.83

Saaksjærven Loiske0.88

1X2

78% 13% 9%

Tampere Utd II Draw Saaksjærven Loiske

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Tampere Utd II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Saaksjærven Loiske 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tampere Utd II 3–1–2 Saaksjærven Loiske (6 last)

Saaksjærven Loiske0-2Tampere Utd II
Saaksjærven Loiske0-2Tampere Utd II
Tampere Utd II1-2Saaksjærven Loiske
Tampere Utd II3-3Saaksjærven Loiske
Saaksjærven Loiske1-4Tampere Utd II
Saaksjærven Loiske2-0Tampere Utd II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tampere Utd II 1551 · Saaksjærven Loiske 1471

	Tampere Utd II	Draw	Saaksjærven Loiske
Our model	77%	15%	8%
Market	78%	12%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd II (rating 1551 vs 1471).
H2H favours Tampere Utd II: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tampere Utd II	Saaksjærven Loiske
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1	0.8 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/13/38%	22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.5	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.50

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)2.00

2 (+2.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:39 +9’	1.17	7.50	9.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampere Utd II 3–1–2 Saaksjærven Loiske

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	0-2 HT 0-1	Tampere Utd II
01/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	0-2 HT 0-1	Tampere Utd II
26/04/25 Finland Kolmonen	Tampere Utd II	1-2 HT 0-0	Saaksjærven Loiske
31/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	Tampere Utd II	3-3 HT 1-2	Saaksjærven Loiske
31/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	1-4 HT 0-1	Tampere Utd II
23/08/23 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	2-0 HT 2-0	Tampere Utd II

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	14	13	1	0	55	11	40
2	TPV II	13	9	1	3	29	17	28
3	Tampere Utd II	13	8	3	2	24	14	27
4	NoPS	13	8	2	3	38	16	26
5	Ylojarvi United	13	7	2	4	28	19	23
6	FC LeKi	12	5	2	5	24	22	17
7	FC Haka Juniors	13	5	1	7	27	32	16
8	TP-T	13	4	2	7	22	28	14
9	Saaksjærven Loiske	13	4	2	7	17	32	14
10	Fish United	14	3	2	9	18	37	11
11	ACE	13	2	1	10	24	39	7
12	TP-49	14	1	1	12	14	53	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tampere Utd II	Saaksjærven Loiske
FC Haka Juniors	2-2 D	0-3 L
FC Lasten	1-1 D	1-10 L
TPV II	2-3 L	0-1 L
TP-T	2-0 W	2-1 W
NoPS	0-0 D	0-2 L
FC LeKi	2-1 W	1-3 L
TP-49	2-0 W	4-3 W
Fish United	2-0 W	0-0 D
ACE	4-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Tampere Utd II (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tampere Utd II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	7	7	D
25/07	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
04/07	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-3	5	6	L
27/06	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
17/06	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-4	3	6	L
12/06	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
06/06	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-1	7	3	W
27/05	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/05	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
15/05	ACE Finland Kolmonen	3-0	4-1	5	3	W

Saaksjærven Loiske

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
24/07	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	9	3	L
04/07	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-3	4	1	W
24/06	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
12/06	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
05/06	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	–	4-0	–	–	W
28/05	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
19/05	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	6	10	L
16/05	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	1-6	1-10	2	4	L
06/05	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tampere Utd II vs Saaksjærven Loiske?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampere Utd II win (78%). Probabilities: Tampere Utd II 78%, draw 13%, Saaksjærven Loiske 9%.

How many goals are expected in Tampere Utd II vs Saaksjærven Loiske?

The model expects 3.7 goals (Tampere Utd II 2.83 · Saaksjærven Loiske 0.88), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Tampere Utd II vs Saaksjærven Loiske?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.