Football · Finland Kolmonen · 16/09, 18:30

Prediction: Jippo II vs NiemU

Team pages: Jippo II · NiemU

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Jippo II1.42

NiemU2.3

1X2

23% 20% 57%

Jippo II Draw NiemU

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Jippo II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWWLWD

NiemU 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Jippo II 2–1–2 NiemU (5 last)

NiemU2-1Jippo II
Jippo II1-2NiemU
NiemU1-2Jippo II
Jippo II2-0NiemU
NiemU0-0Jippo II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jippo II 1531 · NiemU 1561

	Jippo II	Draw	NiemU
Our model	22%	21%	56%
Market	24%	19%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 17.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jippo II	NiemU
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.9	2.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.9	0 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	57/14/29%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.7	2.5 / 10
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.80

X4.75

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.93

2 (-1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.80▲	Pinn 4.03 ★
X	4.50 → 4.75▲	Pinn 5.03
2	1.70 → 1.55▼	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:03 +15’	3.30	4.50	1.70
16:33 +12’	3.80▲	4.75▲	1.55▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:46 +32’	3.27	4.60	1.66
16:33 +12’	4.03▲	5.03▲	1.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jippo II 2–1–2 NiemU

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/07/26 Finland Kolmonen	NiemU	2-1	Jippo II
29/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Jippo II	1-2 HT 1-1	NiemU
20/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	NiemU	1-2	Jippo II
31/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	Jippo II	2-0 HT 0-0	NiemU
31/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	NiemU	0-0 HT 0-0	Jippo II

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NiemU	20	16	1	3	52	16	49
2	Kings SC	20	15	1	4	69	29	46
3	Jippo II	20	8	5	7	46	40	29
4	Yllatys	20	8	4	8	44	40	28
5	PK-37	20	8	3	9	33	41	27
6	SC Zulimanit	20	6	3	11	28	41	21
7	KUPS Akatemia II	20	6	2	12	35	48	20
8	ToU	20	3	1	16	18	70	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jippo II	NiemU
Yllatys	2-2 D	3-2 W
KUPS Akatemia II	2-0 W	3-1 W
SC Zulimanit	1-2 L	3-1 W
ToU	6-3 W	7-0 W
Kings SC	4-3 W	2-0 W
PK-37	7-4 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NiemU (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jippo II

DLWLWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Yllatys Finland Kolmonen	–	2-2	–	–	D
02/09	KUPS Akatemia II Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
28/08	SC Zulimanit Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
19/08	ToU Finland Kolmonen	3-2	6-3	20	1	W
11/08	Kings SC Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-3	2	2	W
05/08	PK-37 Finland Kolmonen	3-1	7-4	5	4	W
30/07	NiemU Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/07	Yllatys Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	5	0	W
15/07	KUPS Akatemia II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
24/06	SC Zulimanit Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	13	2	D

NiemU

LDWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	ToU Finland Kolmonen	–	7-0	–	–	W
05/09	Yllatys Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W
25/08	Kings SC Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	11	5	W
22/08	KUPS Akatemia II Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
12/08	PK-37 Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-3	9	3	L
08/08	SC Zulimanit Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
30/07	Jippo II Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/07	ToU Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/07	Yllatys Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/06	Kings SC Finland Kolmonen	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jippo II vs NiemU?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NiemU win (57%). Probabilities: Jippo II 23%, draw 20%, NiemU 57%.

How many goals are expected in Jippo II vs NiemU?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Jippo II 1.42 · NiemU 2.3), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jippo II vs NiemU?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.