Football · Finland Kolmonen · 20/08, 18:00

Prediction: EIF Academy vs LoPa

Team pages: EIF Academy · LoPa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.45Total

EIF Academy3.16

LoPa1.29

1X2

74% 14% 12%

EIF Academy Draw LoPa

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

EIF Academy 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWW

LoPa 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWLWLW

Head-to-head

EIF Academy 1–0 LoPa (1 last)

LoPa2-3EIF Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EIF Academy 1633 · LoPa 1478

	EIF Academy	Draw	LoPa
Our model	74%	15%	12%
Market	74%	13%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 4.45 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EIF Academy (rating 1633 vs 1478).
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EIF Academy	LoPa
Goals for / against (FT)	4 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.4	1.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.20

X7.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.98

2 (+2.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.90

Under 4.251.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:51 +11’	1.20	7.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · EIF Academy 1–0–0 LoPa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	LoPa	2-3 HT 0-3	EIF Academy

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	15	12	1	2	57	20	37
2	ESPA	15	12	1	2	39	12	37
3	LePa	15	9	2	4	34	28	29
4	Poxyt	15	8	2	5	34	31	26
5	NuPS	15	6	4	5	26	21	22
6	LoPa	15	7	1	7	24	24	22
7	GrIFK Reservi	15	5	2	8	27	30	17
8	Gilla FC	15	5	2	8	30	35	17
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	15	4	3	8	23	39	15
10	EPS Reservi	15	3	4	8	22	44	13
11	MPS	15	3	3	9	13	27	12
12	HooGee	15	3	1	11	27	45	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EIF Academy	LoPa
NuPS	2-0 W	2-2 D
EPS Reservi	3-0 W	4-1 W
GrIFK Reservi	2-1 W	1-2 L
PPJ/Ruoholahti	4-0 W	0-3 L
MPS	4-0 W	2-1 W
HooGee	4-2 W	1-2 L
Gilla FC	3-1 W	3-2 W
Poxyt	7-3 W	2-0 W
LePa	2-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: EIF Academy (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EIF Academy

LWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
06/08	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
30/07	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	5	8	W
27/07	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
01/07	MPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
25/06	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-2	3	1	W
17/06	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	3-2	9-2	11	1	W
10/06	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	9	4	W
05/06	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	4-2	7-3	3	4	W
27/05	LePa Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	6	4	L

LoPa

DLLLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
05/08	LePa Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-3	6	4	L
31/07	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	4-0	4-1	2	2	W
27/07	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
23/06	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-2	4	2	W
16/06	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
12/06	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
04/06	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-3	1	6	L
29/05	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
22/05	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-2	5	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EIF Academy vs LoPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EIF Academy win (74%). Probabilities: EIF Academy 74%, draw 14%, LoPa 12%.

How many goals are expected in EIF Academy vs LoPa?

The model expects 4.45 goals (EIF Academy 3.16 · LoPa 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in EIF Academy vs LoPa?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.