Football · Finland Kolmonen · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: Gilla FC vs LoPa

Team pages: Gilla FC · LoPa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.24Total
Gilla FC2.4
LoPa1.83
1X2
50% 20% 29%
Gilla FC Draw LoPa
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Gilla FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLLWDWWL
LoPa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLWDDLWW
Head-to-head
Gilla FC 0–1 LoPa (1 last)
  • LoPa3-2Gilla FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gilla FC 1512 · LoPa 1519
Gilla FCDrawLoPa
Our model50%21%29%
Market50%20%29%
Estimated total (ours) 4.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Gilla FCLoPa
Goals for / against (FT)2.9 / 2.12.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.81 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)56/33/11%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.61.2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 02.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gilla FC 0–0–1 LoPa

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/06/26
Finland Kolmonen
LoPa3-2
HT 0-1
Gilla FC

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 EIF Academy 211542 722949
2 ESPA 211335 492342
3 LePa 201136 413436
4 Poxyt 211038 454333
5 LoPa 20938 343430
6 Gilla FC 20839 484227
7 NuPS 21768 313127
8 GrIFK Reservi 218211 364726
9 PPJ/Ruoholahti 216411 315022
10 HooGee 216213 385420
11 EPS Reservi 205510 305220
12 MPS 214611 244018

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGilla FCLoPa
EIF Academy 2-4 L 2-2 D
NuPS 5-0 W 2-2 D
GrIFK Reservi 7-1 W 3-2 W
EPS Reservi 2-2 D 4-1 W
PPJ/Ruoholahti 2-0 W 2-1 W
ESPA 1-4 L 0-2 L
MPS 3-2 W 2-1 W
LePa 0-2 L 2-3 L
HooGee 6-3 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 3 L 4 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gilla FC

WLWLLWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/09 EIF Academy
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-4 45 L
12/09 NuPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 5-0 17 W
05/09 GrIFK Reservi
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 7-1 104 W
28/08 EPS Reservi
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-2 60 D
20/08 PPJ/Ruoholahti
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-0 32 W
12/08 ESPA
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 1-4 84 L
08/08 Poxyt
Finland Kolmonen
– 1-3 –– L
31/07 MPS
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 3-2 47 W
22/07 LePa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-2 81 L
01/07 HooGee
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 6-3 61 W

LoPa

WLWLWDDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 GrIFK Reservi
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-2 32 W
11/09 PPJ/Ruoholahti
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-1 43 W
03/09 HooGee
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-3 44 L
28/08 NuPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-2 07 D
20/08 EIF Academy
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-2 40 D
12/08 MPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-1 52 W
05/08 LePa
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 2-3 64 L
31/07 EPS Reservi
Finland Kolmonen
4-0 4-1 22 W
27/07 ESPA
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-2 32 L
23/06 Gilla FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 3-2 42 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gilla FC vs LoPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gilla FC win (50%). Probabilities: Gilla FC 50%, draw 20%, LoPa 29%.

How many goals are expected in Gilla FC vs LoPa?

The model expects 4.24 goals (Gilla FC 2.4 · LoPa 1.83), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gilla FC vs LoPa?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.