Football · Finland Kolmonen · 05/08, 18:45
Prediction: Santa Claus vs Hercules-J
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.98Total
Santa Claus1.99
Hercules-J1.99
1X2
Santa Claus
Draw
Hercules-J
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Claus
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Hercules-J
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santa Claus
1–0
Hercules-J
(1 last)
- Hercules-J1-2Santa Claus
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hercules-J (rating 1416 vs 1470).
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santa Claus | Hercules-J | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 3.9 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 3.3 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/0/100% | 67/0/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Claus 1–0–0 Hercules-J
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Finland Kolmonen | Hercules-J | 1-2 | Santa Claus |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, North Group
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kajha | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | HauPa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Villan Pojat | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 18 |
| 4 | KePS | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | KaPa Kajaani | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 13 | 16 |
| 6 | RoPo | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 13 |
| 7 | Ajax Sarkkiranta | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 13 |
| 8 | Hercules-J | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 11 |
| 9 | Santa Claus | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 6 |
| 10 | PonPa | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 2 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santa Claus | Hercules-J |
|---|---|---|
| Villan Pojat | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Kajha | 0-8 L | 0-8 L |
| KePS | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| HauPa | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| RoPo | 0-6 L | 2-1 W |
| KaPa Kajaani | 0-4 L | 3-2 W |
| PonPa | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hercules-J (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santa Claus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Villan Pojat Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Kajha Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 24/06 | KePS Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | HauPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/06 | RoPo Finland Kolmonen |
0-5 | 0-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | KaPa Kajaani Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | PonPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Hercules-J Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Villan Pojat Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/04 | OLS Finland Cup |
1-4 | 1-9 | 0 | 2 | L |
Hercules-J
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | KePS Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | HauPa Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/07 | RoPo Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | KaPa Kajaani Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | PonPa Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Ajax Sarkkiranta Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/05 | Villan Pojat Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Kajha Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Santa Claus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | KePS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santa Claus vs Hercules-J?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Claus win (39%). Probabilities: Santa Claus 39%, draw 22%, Hercules-J 39%.
How many goals are expected in Santa Claus vs Hercules-J?
The model expects 3.98 goals (Santa Claus 1.99 · Hercules-J 1.99), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Santa Claus vs Hercules-J?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.