Football · Finland Kolmonen · 03/10, 13:00
Prediction: HauPa vs Hercules-J
Team pages: HauPa · Hercules-J
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.61Total
HauPa2.78
Hercules-J1.83
1X2
HauPa
Draw
Hercules-J
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
2-1 7%
Recent form · 10 last
HauPa
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Hercules-J
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HauPa
2–1–0
Hercules-J
(3 last)
- Hercules-J2-2HauPa
- Hercules-J0-3HauPa
- HauPa3-2Hercules-J
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HauPa (rating 1547 vs 1460).
- H2H favours HauPa: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HauPa | Hercules-J | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/75/25% | 60/0/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.5 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HauPa 2–1–0 Hercules-J
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Finland Kolmonen | Hercules-J | 2-2 HT 1-0 | HauPa |
| 15/08/18 Finland Kolmonen | Hercules-J | 0-3 HT 0-1 | HauPa |
| 11/06/17 Finland Kolmonen | HauPa | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Hercules-J |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, North Group
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kajha | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 71 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 | Villan Pojat | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 21 | 33 |
| 3 | KePS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 42 | 20 | 31 |
| 4 | KaPa Kajaani | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 61 | 22 | 30 |
| 5 | HauPa | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | RoPo | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 37 | 23 |
| 7 | Ajax Sarkkiranta | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 40 | 20 |
| 8 | Hercules-J | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 46 | 18 |
| 9 | Santa Claus | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 55 | 12 |
| 10 | PonPa | 17 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 105 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HauPa | Hercules-J |
|---|---|---|
| Villan Pojat | 3-3 D | 1-3 L |
| Kajha | 3-2 W | 1-5 L |
| Santa Claus | 4-1 W | 5-1 W |
| KePS | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Ajax Sarkkiranta | 7-3 W | 2-1 W |
| RoPo | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| KaPa Kajaani | 1-2 L | 1-6 L |
| PonPa | 7-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: HauPa (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HauPa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Villan Pojat Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Kajha Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Santa Claus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | KePS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | Ajax Sarkkiranta Finland Kolmonen |
– | 7-3 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | RoPo Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | KaPa Kajaani Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/07 | PonPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | Hercules-J Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Villan Pojat Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
Hercules-J
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | RoPo Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | KaPa Kajaani Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 09/09 | PonPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/09 | Ajax Sarkkiranta Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Villan Pojat Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Kajha Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 05/08 | Santa Claus Finland Kolmonen |
5-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | KePS Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | HauPa Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/07 | RoPo Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HauPa vs Hercules-J?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HauPa win (57%). Probabilities: HauPa 57%, draw 19%, Hercules-J 24%.
How many goals are expected in HauPa vs Hercules-J?
The model expects 4.61 goals (HauPa 2.78 · Hercules-J 1.83), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in HauPa vs Hercules-J?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.