Football · Finland Kolmonen · 26/08, 18:00

Prediction: KPV Akatemia vs VIFK

Team pages: KPV Akatemia · VIFK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.31Total

KPV Akatemia1.26

VIFK3.04

1X2

13% 15% 73%

KPV Akatemia Draw VIFK

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

KPV Akatemia 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLLLW

VIFK 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWDWLW

Head-to-head

KPV Akatemia 0–1 VIFK (1 last)

VIFK7-1KPV Akatemia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KPV Akatemia 1471 · VIFK 1568

	KPV Akatemia	Draw	VIFK
Our model	12%	15%	72%
Market	13%	14%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 4.31 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VIFK (rating 1471 vs 1568).
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KPV Akatemia	VIFK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2.3	2.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	38/38/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	2.8 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

17.00

X6.25

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.98

2 (-2)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.252.00

Under 4.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:51 +14’	7.00	6.25	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KPV Akatemia 0–0–1 VIFK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	VIFK	7-1 HT 4-1	KPV Akatemia

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VIFK	15	11	2	2	41	13	35
2	FC Kiisto	16	9	3	4	40	22	30
3	FC Ylivieska	15	8	2	5	36	33	26
4	Virkia	15	7	2	6	28	24	23
5	VPV Pallo-Veikot	15	7	2	6	21	21	23
6	SIF	15	6	3	6	27	29	21
7	SJK-j	15	5	4	6	23	24	19
8	Sporting Kristina	14	5	3	6	19	20	18
9	LBK	16	6	0	10	25	40	18
10	Nykarleby IK	15	3	4	8	21	38	13
11	KPV Akatemia	15	3	1	11	30	47	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KPV Akatemia	VIFK
FC Kiisto	3-0 W	2-1 W
LBK	1-3 L	5-0 W
VPV Pallo-Veikot	0-1 L	2-1 W
Virkia	2-4 L	3-1 W
SJK-j	3-6 L	1-2 L
SIF	2-3 L	3-1 W
FC Ylivieska	5-3 W	1-1 D
Nykarleby IK	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: VIFK (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KPV Akatemia

WLWLLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	2	0	W
08/08	LBK Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-3	8	3	L
04/08	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
29/07	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-4	4	6	L
23/07	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
16/07	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	1-3	3-6	2	2	L
01/07	SIF Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	1	1	L
23/06	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	2-1	5-3	1	7	W
18/06	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
10/06	Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen	–	5-0	–	–	W

VIFK

WWLWWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
13/08	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-2	5	1	L
07/08	SIF Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	9	8	W
30/07	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	7	11	D
23/07	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-1	7	3	W
29/06	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	5	3	W
25/06	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/06	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
11/06	LBK Finland Kolmonen	–	5-0	–	–	W
03/06	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	4-1	7-1	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KPV Akatemia vs VIFK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VIFK win (73%). Probabilities: KPV Akatemia 13%, draw 15%, VIFK 73%.

How many goals are expected in KPV Akatemia vs VIFK?

The model expects 4.31 goals (KPV Akatemia 1.26 · VIFK 3.04), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KPV Akatemia vs VIFK?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.