Football · Finland Kolmonen · 03/10, 11:00

Prediction: PPJ/Ruoholahti vs EPS Reservi

Team pages: PPJ/Ruoholahti · EPS Reservi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

PPJ/Ruoholahti1.71

EPS Reservi2.08

1X2

32% 22% 46%

PPJ/Ruoholahti Draw EPS Reservi

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

PPJ/Ruoholahti 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLLWD

EPS Reservi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDLDLWWW

Head-to-head

PPJ/Ruoholahti 2–1 EPS Reservi (3 last)

EPS Reservi1-5PPJ/Ruoholahti
PPJ/Ruoholahti1-5EPS Reservi
EPS Reservi2-4PPJ/Ruoholahti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1472 · EPS Reservi 1502

	PPJ/Ruoholahti	Draw	EPS Reservi
Our model	32%	23%	46%
Market	33%	21%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours PPJ/Ruoholahti: 2-0-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PPJ/Ruoholahti	EPS Reservi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.1	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	25/0/75%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6	1.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X4.33

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:53 +15’	2.75	4.33	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PPJ/Ruoholahti 2–0–1 EPS Reservi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/07/26 Finland Kolmonen	EPS Reservi	1-5 HT 1-1	PPJ/Ruoholahti
12/09/24 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Ruoholahti	1-5 HT 0-4	EPS Reservi
08/06/24 Finland Kolmonen	EPS Reservi	2-4 HT 0-3	PPJ/Ruoholahti

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	21	15	4	2	72	29	49
2	ESPA	21	13	3	5	49	23	42
3	LePa	21	11	3	7	42	37	36
4	Poxyt	21	10	3	8	45	43	33
5	Gilla FC	21	9	3	9	52	42	30
6	LoPa	21	9	3	9	34	38	30
7	NuPS	21	7	6	8	31	31	27
8	GrIFK Reservi	21	8	2	11	36	47	26
9	EPS Reservi	21	6	5	10	33	53	23
10	PPJ/Ruoholahti	21	6	4	11	31	50	22
11	HooGee	21	6	2	13	38	54	20
12	MPS	21	4	6	11	24	40	18

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PPJ/Ruoholahti	EPS Reservi
NuPS	0-0 D	0-2 L
LePa	4-3 W	3-1 W
LOPA	1-2 L	1-4 L
MPS	1-3 L	3-1 W
Poxyt	2-1 W	2-2 D
Gilla FC	0-2 L	2-2 D
GrIFK Reservi	2-3 L	2-0 W
HooGee	3-2 W	0-2 L
ESPA	0-1 L	3-1 W
EIF Academy	0-4 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 6 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: EPS Reservi (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PPJ/Ruoholahti

LLWLLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
17/09	LePa Finland Kolmonen	2-2	4-3	11	3	W
11/09	LOPA Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
04/09	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
27/08	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
20/08	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
16/08	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-3	6	1	L
06/08	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	9	2	W
31/07	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
27/07	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	5	1	L

EPS Reservi

WLLDLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	3	4	W
18/09	MPS Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
04/09	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L
28/08	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	7	0	D
20/08	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	6	4	L
16/08	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	6	2	D
06/08	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
31/07	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-4	1-4	4	2	L
26/07	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs EPS Reservi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an EPS Reservi win (46%). Probabilities: PPJ/Ruoholahti 32%, draw 22%, EPS Reservi 46%.

How many goals are expected in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs EPS Reservi?

The model expects 3.79 goals (PPJ/Ruoholahti 1.71 · EPS Reservi 2.08), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs EPS Reservi?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.