Football · Finland Kolmonen · 06/08, 18:00

Prediction: EIF Academy vs EPS Reservi

Team pages: EIF Academy · EPS Reservi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.81Total

EIF Academy3.41

EPS Reservi1.41

1X2

81% 11% 8%

EIF Academy Draw EPS Reservi

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

EIF Academy 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWWWW

EPS Reservi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLDLWLWL

Head-to-head

EIF Academy 5–1 EPS Reservi (6 last)

EPS Reservi2-9EIF Academy
EPS Reservi2-3EIF Academy
EIF Academy2-4EPS Reservi
EPS Reservi2-3EIF Academy
EIF Academy1-0EPS Reservi
EPS Reservi0-2EIF Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EIF Academy 1611 · EPS Reservi 1461

	EIF Academy	Draw	EPS Reservi
Our model	75%	14%	12%
Market	85%	9%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 4.81 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EIF Academy (rating 1611 vs 1461).
H2H favours EIF Academy: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EIF Academy	EPS Reservi
Goals for / against (FT)	3.9 / 1.5	1.8 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.7	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.1	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.08

X10.00

217.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.25)1.85

2 (+3.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 51.88

Under 51.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 5.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.08 → 1.08	Bet365 1.08
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:43 +4’	1.08	10.00	17.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · EIF Academy 5–0–1 EPS Reservi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	EPS Reservi	2-9 HT 2-3	EIF Academy
03/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	EPS Reservi	2-3 HT 0-3	EIF Academy
24/04/25 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	2-4 HT 1-3	EPS Reservi
08/09/24 Finland Kolmonen	EPS Reservi	2-3 HT 2-2	EIF Academy
20/09/23 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	1-0 HT 1-0	EPS Reservi
18/06/23 Finland Kolmonen	EPS Reservi	0-2 HT 0-1	EIF Academy

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	13	10	1	2	52	20	31
2	ESPA	13	10	1	2	33	11	31
3	LePa	13	7	2	4	26	22	23
4	NuPS	13	6	4	3	26	17	22
5	Poxyt	13	7	1	5	29	28	22
6	LoPa	13	6	1	6	20	20	19
7	Gilla FC	13	5	2	6	28	28	17
8	MPS	13	3	3	7	12	22	12
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	13	3	3	7	18	34	12
10	EPS Reservi	13	3	3	7	20	39	12
11	GrIFK Reservi	13	3	2	8	21	28	11
12	HooGee	13	3	1	9	21	37	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EIF Academy	EPS Reservi
GrIFK Reservi	2-1 W	2-0 W
PPJ/Ruoholahti	4-0 W	1-5 L
MPS	4-0 W	0-0 D
HooGee	4-2 W	6-2 W
Gilla FC	3-1 W	1-5 L
LePa	2-3 L	2-1 W
ESPA	1-1 D	2-4 L
LoPa	3-2 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: EIF Academy (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EIF Academy

WDLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	5	8	W
27/07	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
01/07	MPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
25/06	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-2	3	1	W
17/06	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	3-2	9-2	11	1	W
10/06	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	9	4	W
05/06	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	4-2	7-3	3	4	W
27/05	LePa Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
21/05	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
15/05	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	3-0	3-2	3	1	W

EPS Reservi

WLDLDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-4	1-4	4	2	L
26/07	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
03/07	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-5	3	3	L
24/06	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
17/06	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	2-3	2-9	0	1	L
14/06	MPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
05/06	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	–	2-4	–	–	L
31/05	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	10	7	D
24/05	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-5	4	3	L
17/05	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	3-0	6-2	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EIF Academy vs EPS Reservi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EIF Academy win (81%). Probabilities: EIF Academy 81%, draw 11%, EPS Reservi 8%.

How many goals are expected in EIF Academy vs EPS Reservi?

The model expects 4.81 goals (EIF Academy 3.41 · EPS Reservi 1.41), with a 53% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in EIF Academy vs EPS Reservi?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.